GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-23 18:30 UTC 4 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %

Entry

209.739

Target

210.486 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

209.117 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 4 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Falling Wedge, Double Bottom, CTI OB Exit +8 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping

▲ Bullish 91 % (25.40) ▼ Bearish 9 % (2.63)

model score 90.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Falling Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.24
▲	Double Bottombreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.00
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.38
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	1.97
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.93
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.70
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.65
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.62
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.56
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.03

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 30M, but all higher timeframes are bearish—this is a counter-trend bounce, not a reversal signal.
Key levels: resistance at 210.486, support at 209.117. Watch for a break above resistance to confirm upside, or a loss of support to invalidate.
The confluence of patterns (Double Bottom, Falling Wedge, Trendline Break) adds weight, but the 1h/2h/4h solid downtrends limit upside potential.
Treat this as a short-term opportunity; avoid holding against the larger trend without additional confirmation.

The 30-minute GBP/JPY signal is a strong bullish confluence, firing a Trendline Break Up, Double Bottom, Falling Wedge, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and multiple retreat indicators. However, the broader context is bearish across all higher timeframes, with the 1h, 2h, and 4h showing solid downtrends. This creates a classic counter-trend setup: the bullish patterns on the 30M are likely a corrective bounce within a larger bearish structure. The signal's high probability (96%) and very strong strength suggest near-term upside momentum, but traders should treat it as a scalp or a potential reversal only if higher-timeframe alignment shifts.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 210.486 and support at 209.117. A break above resistance could signal a deeper correction, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish thesis. The 15M is choppy, indicating the bounce may be losing steam. The confluence of patterns on the 30M is compelling, but the trend discrepancy across timeframes is a major caveat. This is a high-risk, high-reward setup where confirmation from higher timeframes is absent.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple chart patterns (Double Bottom, Falling Wedge, Trendline Break Up) align on the 30M, indicating a strong reversal attempt.
▲ Indicator confluence: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and retreat signals all point to bullish momentum in the near term.
▲ The 96% probability and 'very strong' strength suggest the signal has high internal consistency, even if it is counter-trend.
▲ Nearest support at 209.117 is close, providing a clear invalidation level that is not far from current price, allowing for tight risk management.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are all in solid bearish trends, which could easily overwhelm the 30M bounce.
▼ The 15M and 30M are choppy/sideways, indicating the bullish momentum may be losing strength or lacking follow-through.
▼ If the price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 210.486, the bounce could stall and reverse, leading to a continuation of the downtrend.
▼ The signal is counter-trend; without a higher-timeframe shift, the probability of a sustained move is low. Watch for a break below support at 209.117 as invalidation.