GBP/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-23 01:00 UTC 22 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.23 %

Entry

210.163

Target

211.273 +0.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

208.359 −0.86 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, CCI OS Exit +11 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.7 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 90 % (14.76) ▼ Bearish 10 % (1.71)

model score 29.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.39
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	2.28
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	2.24
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.70
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.61
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.60
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.51
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.49
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.48
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.16
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.08
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bullish signal cluster on the 4H chart, but it runs counter to the prevailing bearish trend on higher timeframes.
Watch the 210.306 resistance: a break above confirms the reversal; failure to hold 208.359 support invalidates the signal.
Multiple oversold exits and a trendline break suggest strong short-term buying pressure, but the trend is not yet aligned across timeframes.
The 92% probability and very strong strength indicate high conviction, yet the bearish 1H-4H trends are a key risk.

The 4H chart for GBP/JPY has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and confirmed by multiple oscillators exiting oversold conditions (CCI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, RSX OS Entry) and a BOP Zero Cross Up. The STOCHF KD Cross Up and SMA 200 Retreat Up add momentum, while the ER Level Cross Down suggests a shift in volatility regime. With 92% probability and very strong strength, the confluence is compelling, but the broader trend context is mixed: the 4H itself is still bearish (solid trend 3/5), and only the 15m shows a forming bullish trend. This suggests the signal may be an early counter-trend reversal rather than a confirmed trend change.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 210.30600 and support at 208.35900. A decisive break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal and align with the higher probability, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal and likely see the bearish trend resume. The conflicting bearish trends on 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes are a significant headwind, so traders should treat this as a high-probability but counter-trend opportunity until the higher timeframes confirm.

Catalysts

▲ Dense confluence of 15 signals, including trendline break and multiple oscillator oversold exits.
▲ Very strong signal strength and 92% probability, indicating high internal consistency.
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up and ER Level Cross Down suggest a shift in the longer-term moving average and volatility regime supporting upside.
▲ The 15m timeframe is already showing a forming bullish trend, hinting at early momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are all in solid bearish trends, which could overpower the counter-trend move.
▼ The 8H and 12H timeframes are choppy/sideways, adding uncertainty to the broader picture.
▼ A failure to hold above the 208.359 support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the bearish trend.
▼ Momentum could fade if the bullish push stalls below the 210.306 resistance, leading to a range-bound consolidation.