GBP/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-23 05:00 UTC 17 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %

Entry

209.748

Target

208.359 +0.66 %

closes in profit

Stop

210.306 −0.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % ↑ +20.4 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 30 % (5.99) ▼ Bearish 70 % (14.08)

model score 70.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.72
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.67
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.42
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.41
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.29
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is confirmed by multiple crossovers and retreat signals across indicators.
The 4H trend is solid, with supporting alignment from 1H and 2H timeframes.
Key levels: resistance at 210.306, support at 208.359.
Oversold entry (WILLR) suggests potential for a short-term bounce, but the trend remains down.

The GBP/JPY 4H signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a very strong 89% probability and a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators all firing in the same direction. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm selling pressure, while the WILLR OS Entry suggests the pair is entering oversold territory, which can sometimes precede a bounce but here aligns with the broader downtrend. The retreat signals across multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) and the HT TRENDLINE all point to a consistent pullback from recent highs, reinforcing the bearish thesis.

Across timeframes, the trend is uniformly bearish, with the strongest agreement in the 1H, 2H, and 4H windows (all rated 3/5 solid). The 15M and 8H/12H timeframes are choppier, but the overall alignment is clear. The nearest resistance at 210.306 is a key level to watch; a break above it would signal a potential reversal, while the nearest support at 208.359 is the immediate downside target. The confluence of signals and trend alignment makes this a high-conviction sell setup, but traders should remain alert to the oversold condition and the choppier higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of bearish trends across 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes.
▼ Multiple indicator groups (fibonacci, indicator) firing simultaneously.
▼ Consistent retreat signals from several moving averages and trendline.
▼ High probability (89%) and very strong signal strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) may trigger a corrective bounce.
▲ Choppy trends in 8H and 12H timeframes could signal a larger consolidation.
▲ Resistance at 210.306 is a nearby invalidation level; a break above would weaken the bearish case.
▲ Fading momentum in the 15M timeframe (choppy/sideways) suggests the move may be maturing.