GBP/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-23 01:00 UTC 22 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.14 %

Entry

1.33886

Target

1.31369 +1.88 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.35678 −1.34 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Swing

▲ Bullish 3 % (1.05) ▼ Bearish 97 % (33.15)

model score 11.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.60
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.17

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 4H, with 92% probability, suggests a near-term reversal from the recent bullish momentum.
Lower timeframes are bearish but choppy, so the sell is likely to be a corrective move rather than a full trend change.
Watch the 1.31369 support: a break below would validate the bearish signal; a hold could lead to a bounce back toward the 1.34000 resistance.
The higher timeframes (8H-1D) remain bullish, so this sell should be treated as a counter-trend opportunity, not a long-term short.

The 4H GBP/USD signal fires a dense cluster of bearish crossovers and retreats, including BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD, DEMA, ERI, and KDJ, all pointing to a loss of upside momentum and a shift toward selling pressure. This is a very strong confluence on the 4H timeframe, with a 92% probability, suggesting that the recent bullish push has stalled and is now reversing.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 4H trend is bullish and solid (3/5), the lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are all bearish but choppy/sideways, indicating that the immediate momentum is down but lacks clear direction. The higher timeframes (8h to 1d) are still bullish, though only forming trends. This means the sell signal is a counter-trend move against the higher-timeframe bullish structure, which increases the risk of a bounce. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.34000 and support at 1.31369; a break below support would confirm the bearish reversal, while a hold above it could see the pair revert to the broader uptrend.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD, DEMA, ERI, KDJ) all crossing down simultaneously.
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability (92%) on the 4H timeframe.
▼ Bearish alignment across all lower timeframes (15m to 2h) supports immediate downside momentum.
▼ Proximity to the nearest resistance at 1.34000, which is likely to act as a ceiling.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H trend is still bullish (3/5), and higher timeframes (8H-1D) are also bullish, so the sell may be a temporary pullback within a larger uptrend.
▲ Lower timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating weak conviction and potential for whipsaws.
▲ If the pair holds above support at 1.31369, the bearish signal could fade and the uptrend resume.
▲ A break above the 1.34000 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.