LUNC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-23 19:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.26 %

Entry

0.00004584

Target

0.00004540 +0.96 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004744 −3.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 10,797 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 10,797 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Break Down, SAR Flip Bearish, HMA Break Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

54.9 % ↓ −12.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 34 % (5.01) ▼ Bearish 66 % (9.59)

model score 65.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 19:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.41
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.31
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.19
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.94
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.86
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.85
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	1.64
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish bias is strong on higher timeframes (8h, 12h) and forming on 2h/4h, but lower timeframes are choppy and sideways.
The cluster of cross-down signals (CMO, DI, DM, RSI) outweighs the short-term cross-up signals, reinforcing downside pressure.
Key levels to watch: both resistance and support sit at 0.00005, making this a pivotal price zone.
A break below support would confirm the bearish trend; a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.

The 30-minute SELL signal on LUN/CUSDT is supported by a broad bearish alignment across multiple timeframes, with the strongest conviction in the 8h and 12h trends (both rated 4/5). The cluster of cross-down signals (CMO, DI, DM, RSI midline) indicates persistent downside momentum, while the cross-up signals (MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD) suggest short-term counter-movements that could offer entries on rallies. The choppy, sideways price action on the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes (all rated 1/5) implies that near-term momentum is weak, but the trend is forming on the 2h and 4h charts, reinforcing the bearish case.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance and support, both at 0.00005. This tight range suggests that the price is at a critical juncture: a break below support could accelerate the downtrend, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The confluence of multiple indicators across timeframes, combined with a strong trend score on higher timeframes, raises the probability of the bearish scenario. However, the mixed signals on lower timeframes and the proximity of resistance/support warrant caution—traders should watch for a decisive move rather than acting on noise.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend scores on 8h and 12h timeframes (4/5) provide solid higher-timeframe support.
▼ Multiple cross-down signals (CMO, DI, DM, RSI) align, indicating persistent selling pressure.
▼ Trend formation on 2h and 4h charts suggests the bearish momentum is building.
▼ The proximity of resistance and support at 0.00005 creates a clear line in the sand for invalidation.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy, sideways price action on 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes (1/5) suggests weak near-term momentum that could lead to false signals.
▲ The 1h timeframe is still bullish, which could counter the bearish thesis if it strengthens.
▲ Short-term cross-up signals (MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD) indicate potential for a bounce, especially if the price holds above support.
▲ If the price reclaims the 0.00005 resistance level, the bearish signal would be invalidated, so watch that level closely.