NZD/USD – 12H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-22 21:00 UTC 17 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.30 %

Entry

0.56840

Target

0.59877 +5.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55653 −2.09 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 50 Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +5.6 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +43% Position

▲ Bullish 100 % (43.26) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.93
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.71
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.57
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.48
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.44
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.12
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.95
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	0.92
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.86

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish 12H signal with weak strength, conflicting with a very strong daily bearish trend.
Multiple indicators (BOP, DX, STOCHRSI, EMA, MAMA, SMA) align for a short-term upward push.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.59877; a break could shift momentum, but lower timeframes are choppy.
The 1D bearish trend is the dominant force; this signal may be a counter-trend bounce.

The 12H NZD/USD signal stack is firing a bullish alert with a 63% probability, but the strength is weak and the broader picture is mixed. The confluence of BOP Zero Cross Up, DX Trend Strong, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, EMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, and SMA 50 Retreat Up suggests a short-term upward push within the 12H timeframe, where the trend is solid (3/5). However, the 1D timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), which acts as a significant opposing force. The 4H and 8H timeframes are bullish but still forming (2/5), indicating the bullish momentum is not yet fully established. The nearest resistance at 0.59877 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.55653 is a distant downside level.

Traders should recognize that this signal is a counter-trend move against a dominant daily bearish trend. The weak strength and the choppy/sideways action on lower timeframes (15m-1h) suggest a lack of strong momentum. The signal may represent a pullback or consolidation within a larger downtrend rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are the resistance at 0.59877; a break above could signal a stronger bullish shift, but failure to hold current levels may lead to a continuation of the daily bearish trend. The invalidation level for the bullish signal is likely below the recent lows, but the immediate focus should be on how price reacts to the resistance.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 12H timeframe, including BOP Zero Cross Up and DX Trend Strong.
▲ Trend alignment across 2H to 12H timeframes, all bullish, with the 12H showing a solid trend (3/5).
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up and EMA Retreat Up indicate short-term momentum and price retreat support.
▲ The nearest resistance at 0.59877 is not far, providing a clear target for the move.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1D timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), which could overwhelm the bullish signal.
▼ Weak signal strength (63%) and choppy/sideways action on 15m-1h timeframes suggest low conviction.
▼ Failure to break above the resistance at 0.59877 could lead to a reversal and continuation of the daily downtrend.
▼ The AO Saucer Bearish and ER Level Cross Down signals indicate underlying bearish pressure that may counter the bullish push.