USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-23 03:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.02 %

Entry

1.40060

Target

1.39583 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40821 −0.54 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.44
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.33
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the strongest trend on 4H (4/5) and solid trends on 2H and higher.
Multiple indicator signals (BOP, STOCHF, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) all point to a sell, with MACD cross up suggesting a possible short-term bounce within the downtrend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.40821; a break above this level would invalidate the bearish signal.
No immediate support level defined, so downside potential is open but requires careful risk management.

The 1H USD/CAD signal aligns with a broader bearish trend across all monitored timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily chart. The strongest trend scores are on the 4H timeframe (4/5) and the 2H (3/5), indicating a solid, established downtrend that is being reinforced by the shorter timeframes. The confluence of multiple indicator-based signals—including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and several retreat signals from EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, and MIDPOINT—suggests a synchronized move lower, with MACD Signal Cross Up indicating a potential short-term pullback within the broader bearish context. The nearest resistance at 1.40821 is a key level to watch; a break above it would challenge the bearish thesis, while the lack of a defined support level suggests room for further downside but also increases uncertainty.

The trend is forming on the 15m to 1H timeframes, but the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) show solid to very strong bearish trends, providing a strong tailwind for the sell signal. The probability of 94% and very strong strength indicate high conviction in the signal, but traders should remain cautious given the absence of a nearby support level. Key levels to monitor include the resistance at 1.40821, which serves as the primary invalidation point for the bearish bias. If the price fails to hold below this level, the bearish scenario would be weakened. Additionally, watch for any signs of momentum fading, such as a MACD cross down or a reversal on the 4H timeframe, which could signal a trend change.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with strong scores on 4H and 2H supporting the sell signal.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (BOP, STOCHF, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) all confirming the bearish direction.
▼ Probability of 94% and very strong strength indicate high confidence in the signal.
▼ The presence of a defined resistance at 1.40821 provides a clear invalidation level, helping to manage risk.

Risk Factors

▲ The nearest resistance at 1.40821 is the key invalidation level; a break above it would negate the bearish signal.
▲ The 15m to 1H timeframes show only forming trends (2/5), which could indicate a lack of immediate momentum or a potential pullback.
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up suggests a short-term upward correction, which could temporarily push price toward resistance.
▲ No nearby support level means that if the trend reverses, there is no clear floor to gauge potential downside, increasing uncertainty.