USD/CAD – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-23 17:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %

Entry

1.40105

Target

1.43000 +2.07 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.37593 −1.79 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Break Up, MAMA PRICE Break Up, ALMA Break Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (16.02) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	2.76
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.75
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.69
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.69
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.74
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.36
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.27

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bullish signal fires on 4H but sits inside a strong multi-timeframe downtrend — treat as a counter-trend bounce, not a reversal.
Watch the 1.43000 resistance: a clean break could extend the bounce, but rejection would confirm the bearish bias.
The invalidation level is 1.37593 — a drop below that would negate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
Lower timeframes are choppy, so expect volatility; use the 4H signal for timing but respect the higher-timeframe trend.

The 4H USD/CAD signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators — CCI OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, and a series of trend-following breakouts (DEMA, MAMA PRICE, ALMA, HMA) — all pointing to a strong upward correction within a dominant downtrend. The extremely strong probability (100%) and very strong strength suggest a high-conviction move, but the context is critical: the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 1D) are all bearish, with the 4H trend rated very strong (4/5). This implies the bullish signal is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure, not a reversal. The lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish but choppy, indicating the bounce is still in its early, volatile stage. The nearest resistance at 1.43000 is a key barrier; a break above it could signal a deeper retracement, while the nearest support at 1.37593 marks the invalidation zone if the bounce fails. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger downtrend, with tight risk management and a clear exit plan.

Catalysts

▲ Cluster of seven bullish indicators firing simultaneously on 4H, including CCI OS Exit and multiple moving-average breakouts.
▲ Extremely high probability (100%) and very strong strength rating on the signal.
▲ Bullish alignment on 15m and 30m timeframes, supporting the immediate move.
▲ Nearest resistance at 1.43000 is relatively close, offering a clear target for the bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Dominant bearish trend across 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 1D — the higher-timeframe trend is strongly against a sustained rally.
▼ Lower timeframes are choppy/sideways (1/5 trend score), indicating weak momentum and potential for false breakouts.
▼ If price fails to hold above 1.37593, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ Resistance at 1.43000 may cap the move, especially if the 4H trend remains bearish.