USD/CHF – 1H – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.22 %
Entry
0.82050
Target
0.82636 +0.71 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.81268 −0.95 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, VORTEX Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CHF  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 16%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 2.15
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ ZLMA Retreat Up indicator 1.52
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.25
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.17
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.17
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.17
▼ ADX Trend Weak indicator 0.98
▲ Bullish Meeting Lines candlestick 0.73

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A short-term bullish correction is firing on the 1H, but the broader trend is still bearish—treat this as a counter-trend move.
  • Key resistance at 0.82636 is the immediate upside target; a break above it would signal stronger bullish conviction.
  • Support at 0.81916 is the invalidation level; a close below it would void the bullish signal.
  • The 4H timeframe holds a solid bearish trend, so expect resistance to any sustained rally.
The 1H USD/CHF signal is a moderate-strength BUY with a 71% probability, supported by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators that have just fired together: ADX Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, ROCR Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Up, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, and HMA Retreat Up. This combination suggests that while the broader market remains in a bearish structure, a short-term bullish correction is emerging. The zero-cross events on BOP, ROC, and ROCR indicate a shift in buying pressure, while the STOCH KD cross up and ERI BULL reinforce the idea of a momentum reversal. The HMA Retreat Up adds a trend-retreat confirmation. However, the ADX Trend Weak warns that the trend strength is not yet robust, and the 1H timeframe itself is described as choppy/sideways with a low trend score of 1/5.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m is already bullish (trend forming), but the 30m, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h are all bearish, with the 4h showing a solid bearish trend (3/5). This creates a conflict between the short-term bullish signal and the medium-term bearish trend. The nearest resistance at 0.82636 is a critical level; a sustained move above it would confirm the bullish correction and could shift the higher-timeframe bias. Conversely, the nearest support at 0.81916 is the invalidation zone for this buy signal—if price falls below it, the bullish case collapses. Traders should watch for how price behaves at these levels, and whether the 1H momentum can overcome the stronger bearish pull from the 4H.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, ROC, ROCR, STOCH KD) have fired in the same direction, confirming a shift in buying pressure.
  • ▲ The 15m timeframe is already turning bullish, suggesting the correction is starting to propagate upward.
  • ▲ The HMA Retreat Up and ERI BULL add confluence, reinforcing the idea of a short-term trend retreat.
  • ▲ The signal probability is 71%, which is reasonably high for a counter-trend move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 4H timeframe shows a solid bearish trend (3/5), which could easily overwhelm the 1H bullish momentum.
  • ▼ The 1H trend is described as choppy/sideways with a low trend score (1/5), indicating weak trend strength and potential for false signals.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above support at 0.81916, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
  • ▼ The ADX Trend Weak suggests that the current trend strength is not robust, so the move may lack follow-through.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 16%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82636 2026-10-21
R2 0.82704 2026-10-19
R3 0.83171 2026-10-15
S1 0.81916 2026-10-22

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