USD/CHF – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-23 18:00 UTC 4 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.00 %

Entry

0.82519

Target

0.81917 +0.73 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.82704 −0.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −11.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 23 % (3.87) ▼ Bearish 77 % (13.31)

model score 8.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.72
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.09
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.08
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 1H with 77% probability; multiple momentum and trend indicators align.
Higher timeframes (4H-1D) are bearish, lending weight to the sell bias despite short-term bullish noise.
Watch support at 0.81917; a break below could accelerate downside. Resistance at 0.82636 is the invalidation zone.
The Golden Cross on SMA 20/50 is a short-term bullish counter, but it is being overridden by bearish momentum signals.

The 1H USD/CHF signal is strongly bearish, with a 77% probability and strong strength, driven by a cluster of momentum, trend, and indicator events. The BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down all confirm a shift in momentum, while the EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, and HMA Retreat Down indicate that the pair is pulling back from longer-term moving averages. The SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross suggests a recent short-term bullish crossover, but the overwhelming bearish pressure from the other signals points to a likely reversal.

Across timeframes, the trend alignment is mixed but supports a bearish bias. The 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, but with weak trend scores (3/5 and 2/5), suggesting a short-term bounce that may be fading. The 1H and 2H are choppy/sideways, indicating indecision. However, the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bearish, with the 4H showing a solid trend (3/5). This higher-timeframe bearish alignment provides strong tailwind for the sell signal. Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.82636 and support at 0.81917. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend scores on 4H (3/5) and bearish alignment across 4H-1D timeframes.
▼ Confluence of multiple cross-down signals (BOP, STOCH KD, HT PHASOR, ER Level) pointing to momentum shift.
▼ Retreat from EMA200, SMA200, and HMA suggests rejection from key dynamic levels.
▼ Nearest support at 0.81917 is relatively close, offering a clear target for bearish follow-through.

Risk Factors

▲ Short-term bullish trend on 15m and 30m could cause a bounce before continuation; watch for a false breakdown.
▲ The Golden Cross on SMA 20/50 indicates recent bullish momentum that may still be in play.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.82636, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Choppy/sideways action on 1H and 2H suggests low conviction; a failure to break support could lead to consolidation.