USD/CHF – 1H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.41 %
Entry
0.82097
Target
0.81916 +0.22 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.82433 −0.41 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CHF  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 9 × 1h 2%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.18
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.68
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.68
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.59
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.51
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.42
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.27
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.21
▼ ADXR Trend Weak indicator 0.98

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 1H with multiple confirmations from trendlines and indicators.
  • Bearish trend is supported by 2H to 8H timeframes, but 15m/30m are bullish, creating short-term conflict.
  • Watch key levels: resistance at 0.82433 and support at 0.81916; a break below support confirms bearish momentum.
  • Probability is high (90%) and strength is very strong, but choppiness in lower timeframes suggests caution.
The 1H USD/CHF signal is strongly bearish, with a 90% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of indicators including a Trendline Break Down, ADXR Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down. The bearish alignment is most pronounced on the 4H timeframe, which shows a solid trend, while the 1H and 2H are also bearish, though choppy/sideways. However, the 15m and 30m timeframes remain bullish, indicating a potential conflict at the lower timeframes that could lead to short-term counter-trend moves.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.82433 and support at 0.81916. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The confluence of multiple indicators and the alignment across 1H to 8H timeframes strengthen the bearish case, but the choppy nature of the 1H and the bullish lower timeframes suggest that the move may be gradual rather than sharp. Traders should watch for sustained price action below the mid-range and any shift in the higher timeframes that could alter the trend.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators firing together (Trendline Break, ADXR, BOP, STOCHRSI, BBANDS, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) provide strong confluence.
  • ▼ Bearish trend is consistent from 1H up to 8H, with the 4H showing a solid trend.
  • ▼ The signal groups 'indicator' and 'trendline' both align, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.82433 is nearby, providing a clear invalidation level if price reclaims it.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, which could lead to short-term counter-trend moves that slow the bearish progression.
  • ▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clean momentum and potential for false breakdowns.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below support at 0.81916, the bearish signal may lose validity.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the 0.82433 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a reversal.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 2%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 03:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82433 2026-10-22
R2 0.82636 2026-10-21
R3 0.82704 2026-10-19
S1 0.81916 2026-10-22

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