USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-23 03:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.40 %

Entry

0.82105

Target

0.81916 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.82433 −0.40 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 12× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 12× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.68
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.19
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.06
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.66

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators on the 30M chart, supported by higher timeframe trends.
Key support at 0.81916; a break below could accelerate downside, while resistance at 0.82433 may act as a ceiling.
Lower timeframes are choppy, so expect potential short-term bounces despite the overall bearish bias.
Monitor the 4H trend; if it flips bullish, the signal loses its strongest higher-timeframe support.

The 30-minute USD/CHF signal is firmly bearish, with a 74% probability and moderate strength, backed by a dense cluster of indicator confirmations: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA 50, KAMA, MA, SMA 50) plus CTI OB Entry. This confluence suggests that downside momentum is broad-based rather than driven by a single oscillator. The bearish alignment across higher timeframes—1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H all show bearish trends, with the 4H being a solid trend—reinforces the signal's credibility, even though the 15M and 30M are choppy and slightly bullish, indicating near-term noise.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest support at 0.81916 and resistance at 0.82433. A break below support would confirm sustained bearish pressure, while a bounce off resistance could signal a temporary pause. The choppy nature of the lower timeframes suggests that while the trend is bearish, volatility may cause whipsaws. Traders should watch for any shift in the higher timeframe trends, especially the 4H, as a reversal there could invalidate the signal. The signal's strength is moderate, so position sizing should account for potential false moves.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA 50, KAMA, MA, SMA 50) all pointing down, indicating consistent selling pressure.
▼ Oscillator signals (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) all exiting overbought or crossing down, aligning with bearish momentum.
▼ Higher timeframes (1H to 12H) are predominantly bearish, with the 4H showing a solid trend, providing a strong macro backdrop.
▼ The signal is part of a broader cluster of 15+ indicators, increasing the likelihood of a sustained move.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are still bullish and choppy, which could lead to short-term counter-trend rallies.
▲ If price fails to break below the 0.81916 support, the bearish thesis weakens and could lead to a consolidation.
▲ A bullish reversal on the 4H timeframe would undermine the strongest higher-timeframe support, potentially invalidating the signal.
▲ Moderate strength suggests the move may not be aggressive; a sudden shift in news sentiment could spark a bounce.