USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 21:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.25 %

Entry

156.780

Target

158.344 +1.00 %

closes in profit

Stop

155.247 −0.98 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Up, TEMA Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.68
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.50
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.50
▲	Bullish Meeting Lines	candlestick	1.29
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.28
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish 1H signal is a countertrend bounce within a broader bearish trend across all timeframes.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.34400 as the key upside level; a break above may extend the bounce.
No defined support means invalidation is below the recent lows—manage risk tightly.
Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, so treat this as a tactical long, not a trend reversal.

The 1H USD/JPY signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators (BOP Zero Cross Up, SAR Flip Bearish, TEMA/HMA Retreat Up, KELTNER Lower Retreat, Bullish Meeting Lines) against a broadly bearish backdrop across all timeframes. This suggests a potential short-term countertrend bounce within a dominant downtrend. The signal's strength (79%) and confluence of moving-average and candlestick patterns imply that buying pressure is emerging at the 1H scale, but the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, with choppy/sideways conditions on the larger scales.

Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 158.34400 as the immediate upside target; a break above could signal a deeper correction, but failure to hold above this level would invalidate the bounce. The lack of a defined support level means risk management is crucial—any move below the recent lows would negate the bullish setup. The trend scores show that the 15m and 30m are still bearish, so the 1H signal may be leading a reversal, but confirmation on lower timeframes is needed. Overall, this is a high-probability but countertrend signal; treat it as a tactical long within a larger bearish trend, not a trend change.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators (BOP, SAR, TEMA, HMA, KELTNER) fire simultaneously, increasing signal confluence.
▲ Bullish Meeting Lines candlestick pattern adds price-action confirmation.
▲ Strong signal probability (79%) and high strength suggest robust short-term momentum.
▲ The 1H signal may be the first sign of a bottoming process, as lower timeframes are still bearish but forming.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes are bearish; the 1H signal is countertrend, so the broader downtrend may resume.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ Lack of a defined support level means any move below recent lows invalidates the bullish setup.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on larger timeframes indicate low conviction, so the bounce may be short-lived.