USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-23 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.40 %

Entry

156.183

Target

155.901 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.357 −0.75 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, ALMA Break Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.55
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.34
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.33
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.31
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicators on the 30-minute chart signals strong selling pressure.
Trend alignment is bearish from 15m to 4h, supporting a short-term downtrend.
The nearest resistance at 157.35700 is the critical level; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
Higher timeframes (8h and above) are choppy, so this is likely a tactical move, not a major reversal.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Stochastic KD Cross Down, multiple breakdowns (Bollinger Bands lower, DEMA, midpoint), and retreats from trendlines and moving averages (HT trendline, KAMA, MA, EMA). This confluence of momentum, volatility, and trend-following indicators points to a strong, coordinated selling pressure that is likely to persist in the near term.

Trend alignment is broadly bearish from the 15-minute to the 4-hour timeframes, with the strongest conviction on the 15-minute (4/5) and solid 3/5 scores on the 30-minute through 2-hour. The 4-hour shows a forming trend, while higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain choppy and sideways, suggesting this is a shorter-term move rather than a multi-day reversal. The nearest resistance at 157.35700 is the key level to watch for invalidation; a break back above it would signal that the bearish momentum has failed.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (STOCH, BBANDS, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all point in the same bearish direction, creating strong confluence.
▼ Trend scores are consistently bearish across the 15m to 4h timeframes, with the 15m showing very strong conviction.
▼ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with a 91% probability, indicating high confidence in the setup.
▼ The presence of candlestick patterns adds price-action confirmation to the indicator-based signals.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are choppy and sideways, which could mean the bearish move lacks broader support and may be prone to reversal.
▲ If price rallies back above the nearest resistance at 157.35700, the bearish thesis would be invalidated.
▲ The 4-hour trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so there is a risk that the move fades before it develops into a larger downtrend.
▲ Watch for any bullish reversal patterns or a slowdown in momentum that could signal exhaustion of the selling pressure.