USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-23 18:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

156.845

Target

156.311 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.161 −0.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, AO Saucer Bearish, EMA 50 Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 14 % (3.06) ▼ Bearish 86 % (19.09)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.98
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	1.25

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 30m with multiple indicators aligned for a sell.
Higher timeframes (1h-4h) are bearish, supporting the sell, but 15m/30m are still bullish and choppy.
Key support at 156.31100 and resistance at 157.16100 are the critical levels to monitor.
The signal is very strong (86% probability) but may be early given short-term bullish bias.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is a very strong SELL, backed by a dense cluster of bearish indicators: BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down, AO Saucer Bearish, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up, KDJ Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, and ALMA Retreat Down, plus two more. This confluence points to a coordinated bearish shift in momentum, with multiple trend-following and momentum oscillators aligning on the same side. The higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are already bearish, with the 2h and 4h showing solid trends, which suggests the 30m signal is likely a continuation or an acceleration of a broader downtrend rather than a standalone move.

However, the immediate lower timeframes (15m and 30m) are still bullish and choppy, indicating that the very short-term price action has not yet fully turned. This creates a potential conflict: the signal fires against a short-term bullish bias, which could mean the sell signal is early or that a sharp reversal is imminent. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 156.31100 and resistance at 157.16100. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a push above resistance would invalidate the signal and suggest the higher-timeframe trend is not yet dominant. The trend scores across timeframes are generally weak except for 2h and 4h, so the bearish case relies heavily on those mid-term trends.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 10+ bearish indicators on the 30m timeframe, including BOP, EMA 50, T3, AO, ERI, KDJ, SMI, and ALMA.
▼ Bearish trends on 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes, with 2h and 4h showing solid trends, aligning with the signal direction.
▼ The signal fires at a time when higher timeframes are already bearish, suggesting continuation rather than a reversal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish and choppy, which could mean the sell signal is premature or that short-term momentum may push price higher first.
▲ Resistance at 157.16100 is nearby; if price breaks above this level, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the higher-timeframe bearish trend may be weakening.
▲ Trend scores are weak (1/5) on many timeframes, indicating that the overall trend is not robust, and choppy conditions could lead to false signals.
▲ Watch for a failure to break below support at 156.31100; if support holds, the sell may stall and reverse.