USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 20:30 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.18 %

Entry

156.776

Target

156.493 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.357 −0.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, DEMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.33
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.30
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.05
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.89
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div	divergence	1.78
▼	Momentum Hidden Bear Div	divergence	1.75
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.14

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30M chart indicates a high-probability sell setup.
Trends are bearish across multiple timeframes from 15M to 4H, but higher timeframes are choppy, so this is a shorter-term move.
Key levels: resistance at 157.35700 and support at 156.68900; watch for a break below support to confirm continuation.
The 97% probability and very strong strength suggest high conviction, but always manage risk with stop-losses.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an APO Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, DEMA Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, and MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, among others. This confluence of momentum, trend-following, and divergence indicators points to a strong and immediate downward push. The probability is rated at 97% with very strong strength, suggesting that the current price action is heavily aligned with a bearish move.

Trend alignment across timeframes is supportive: the 15-minute through 4-hour timeframes all show bearish trends, with the 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour frames rated as solid (3/5). However, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are choppy or sideways, indicating that the bearish move is a shorter-term correction within a broader, less defined context. The nearest resistance at 157.35700 is the immediate barrier above, while the nearest support at 156.68900 is the target zone below. A break below support could extend the move, but traders should watch for any bounce off resistance or a shift in higher timeframe sentiment.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (APO, STOCHF, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA) all point in the same bearish direction.
▼ Trend alignment across 15M to 4H supports the bearish move, with solid trends on the 30M, 1H, and 2H frames.
▼ The presence of divergence signals adds extra weight to the momentum shift.
▼ The nearest resistance is above, providing a clear invalidation level if price pushes back up.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, which could mean the bearish move is a short-term correction within a range.
▲ If price breaks back above the 157.35700 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated and a bounce is likely.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 30M trend weakens; watch for any shift to sideways or bullish on the 15M or 30M charts.
▲ The 97% probability is high, but no signal is perfect; always use proper position sizing and stop-losses.