USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED
17 hours ago
The plan for this signal
Closed after the holding time · result −0.14 %
Entry
156.628
Target
156.075 +0.35 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.357 −0.47 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 %
33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 %
40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 %
9 % at stop avg −0.36 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: SAR Flip Bearish, ALMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +20 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A very strong bearish signal on the 30M chart, with multiple indicators confirming a downtrend.
- Trend alignment is solid from 15M to 4H, but higher timeframes are choppy, so expect possible resistance to a sustained drop.
- Watch the 157.35700 resistance: a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
- The 156.07500 support is the key downside target; a break could open the door to a deeper move.
The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with 92% probability and very strong strength. A dense cluster of momentum and trend indicators (AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, and EMA Retreat Down) aligns to confirm a fresh downside push. The cross of the middle Bollinger Band (BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down) and the WILLR OS Entry suggest that price has moved below the mean and that the market is entering oversold territory, which may indicate the start of a more sustained move rather than a mere pullback.
Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from 15 minutes up to 4 hours, with the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts showing a solid trend (3/5). However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy and sideways, which tempers the overall conviction and suggests that the move is part of a larger consolidation. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 157.35700, which should hold if the bearish momentum continues, and the nearest support at 156.07500, which becomes the primary target and invalidation zone if broken.
Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from 15 minutes up to 4 hours, with the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts showing a solid trend (3/5). However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy and sideways, which tempers the overall conviction and suggests that the move is part of a larger consolidation. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 157.35700, which should hold if the bearish momentum continues, and the nearest support at 156.07500, which becomes the primary target and invalidation zone if broken.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong confluence of momentum and trend indicators (AROON, MACD, BOP) all pointing down.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across multiple lower timeframes (15M to 4H) with solid strength.
- ▼ Price crossing below the middle Bollinger Band suggests a shift in volatility and direction.
- ▼ Oversold entry (WILLR OS Entry) often precedes a continuation in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy and sideways, which could mean the move is just noise within a larger range.
- ▲ The nearest resistance at 157.35700 is a critical invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish signal.
- ▲ The oversold condition (WILLR OS Entry) might lead to a short-term bounce, especially if the trend is not fully established.
- ▲ If the 156.07500 support holds, the bearish momentum may fade and lead to a sideways consolidation.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
68%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-10-23 09:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 157.35700 | 2026-10-22 |
| R2 | 158.25100 | 2026-10-22 |
| R3 | 158.34400 | 2026-10-21 |
| S1 | 156.07500 | 2026-10-23 |