USD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW CLOSED

2026-10-23 01:00 UTC 22 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.38 %

Entry

156.975

Target

158.603 +1.04 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.376 −0.38 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.27
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	2.18
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.97
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.82
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.82
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.70
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.62
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.54
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.48
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.36
▼	Two Black Gapping Candle	candlestick	1.10

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

4H signal is a strong oversold bounce, but it's counter-trend against the 30m-4H bearish trend.
Key levels: resistance at 158.603, support at 156.951; a break below support invalidates the bullish setup.
Higher timeframes (8H-1D) are bearish and choppy, so treat this as a tactical long, not a trend reversal.
Watch for confirmation: a sustained push above 158.603 would strengthen the bullish case.

The 4H USD/JPY signal is firing a dense cluster of oversold-exit and momentum-cross indicators (CCI, RSI, STOCH, WILLR, KDJ, BOP, ER, HMA) that together suggest an imminent bullish correction. The very strong strength score (89%) reflects the unusually high confluence of distinct oscillator families and candlestick patterns aligning on the same timeframe. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m is bullish, the 30m through 4H timeframes are all bearish with solid trend scores, and higher timeframes (8H-1D) are bearish but choppy. This means the 4H signal is firing against the prevailing short-to-medium trend, making it a counter-trend bounce rather than a confirmed reversal.

Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 158.603 and support at 156.951. A sustained move above resistance would signal that the counter-trend momentum is gaining traction, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the conflicting lower timeframes, this signal is best treated as an opportunistic long with tight risk management, not as a trend-change call. The choppy higher timeframes add uncertainty, so confirmation from price action (e.g., a higher low above support) is essential before adding size.

Catalysts

▲ High confluence of oversold-exit and momentum-cross indicators (CCI, RSI, STOCH, WILLR, KDJ) on the 4H.
▲ Very strong signal strength (89%) with 15+ signals firing simultaneously.
▲ 15m timeframe is bullish, providing a near-term tailwind for the bounce.
▲ Support at 156.951 is nearby, offering a clear invalidation level if broken.

Risk Factors

▼ Counter-trend signal: 30m through 4H are bearish with solid trend scores, so the bounce may be short-lived.
▼ Higher timeframes (8H-1D) are bearish and choppy, offering no confirmation of a larger reversal.
▼ If price fails to hold above support and breaks below 156.951, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the bounce stalls below resistance at 158.603.