USD/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-23 05:00 UTC 17 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.28 %

Entry

156.810

Target

156.376 +0.28 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.603 −1.14 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.16
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.75
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.27
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.07
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.87
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.55

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 4H with multiple retreat signals and a Double Top pattern.
Trend alignment across lower timeframes supports the sell signal, but higher timeframes are choppy and weak.
Watch the nearest support at 156.37600 for confirmation; a break below could accelerate downside.
Resistance at 158.60300 is the invalidation level; a reclaim would negate the setup.

The USD/JPY 4H signal fires a strong bearish setup, driven by a Double Top pattern and a cluster of retreat signals from multiple indicators (BBANDS, DEMA, EMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) alongside a BOP zero cross down and strong ADXR trend confirmation. This confluence suggests a well-defined rejection from resistance and a shift in momentum favoring downside. The alignment of bearish trends across the 15m to 4H timeframes, with solid trend scores on the 1H, 2H, and 4H, reinforces the signal's validity. However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) show choppy, sideways bearish trends with weak scores, indicating that the broader context lacks a strong directional push, which could limit the follow-through.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 158.60300 and support at 156.37600. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The proximity of these levels suggests a relatively contained range, so traders should watch for a decisive move. Given the strong 4H signal but weaker higher timeframe alignment, the trade is best suited for short-term, tactical entries rather than long-term positioning.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator retreats (BBANDS, DEMA, EMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) confirm bearish momentum.
▼ BOP zero cross down and strong ADXR trend score add weight to the signal.
▼ Consistent bearish trends from 15m to 4H with solid scores on 1H/2H/4H.
▼ Double Top pattern provides a classic reversal trigger.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) show choppy, sideways trends, lacking strong bearish conviction.
▲ Nearest support at 156.37600 is relatively close, limiting downside room before a bounce.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 158.60300, the Double Top fails and the signal is invalidated.
▲ Fading momentum on higher timeframes could lead to a consolidation rather than a strong downtrend.