USD/JPY – 8H – BUY
BUY NEW CLOSED
22 hours ago
The plan for this signal
Closed at stop · result −0.38 %
Entry
156.975
Target
158.949 +1.26 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.376 −0.38 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price
So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 253 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 253 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.65 %
28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 %
32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 %
20 % at stop avg −0.60 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +4 more
Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Exit | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | Bullish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 1.02 |
| ▲ | KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat | indicator | 0.92 |
| ▲ | Hammer | candlestick | 0.68 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish reversal cluster on 8H, but higher timeframes remain bearish or choppy.
- Watch for a break above 158.949 to confirm bullish momentum; below 156.376 invalidates.
- Oversold exits and bullish patterns suggest short-term upside potential, but trend alignment is missing.
- This could be a counter-trend bounce; wait for higher timeframe confirmation before committing.
The 8H USD/JPY signal is strongly bullish, firing a cluster of momentum and reversal indicators: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR and KDJ oversold exits, a KELTNER lower retreat, and bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Meeting Lines, Hammer). These suggest that selling pressure has exhausted and buyers are stepping in on the 8H timeframe. However, the broader trend structure is bearish across most timeframes (30m through 4h), with only the 15m showing bullish momentum. This creates a conflict: the 8H signal may represent a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, or the beginning of a reversal that has yet to align across timeframes.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.949 and support at 156.376. A sustained move above resistance would confirm bullish intent and could trigger further upside, while a break below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader bearish trend. The 8H and higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, suggesting indecision, so traders should treat this as a high-probability but potentially short-lived move unless higher timeframes start turning bullish.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.949 and support at 156.376. A sustained move above resistance would confirm bullish intent and could trigger further upside, while a break below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader bearish trend. The 8H and higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, suggesting indecision, so traders should treat this as a high-probability but potentially short-lived move unless higher timeframes start turning bullish.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple oversold exits (WILLR, KDJ) and a KELTNER lower retreat indicate exhausted selling pressure.
- ▲ Bullish candlestick patterns (Hammer, Bullish Meeting Lines) add confluence to the reversal signal.
- ▲ The 15M timeframe is already bullish, hinting at early momentum building.
- ▲ Signal probability is 100% with very strong strength, suggesting high conviction on the 8H timeframe.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Bearish trends on 30m through 4h conflict with the 8H bullish signal, suggesting a possible counter-trend move.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 156.376 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, lacking a clear bullish trend to support sustained upside.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if the 8H timeframe fails to attract follow-through from lower timeframes.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
8H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
16%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-10-22 21:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 158.94900 | 2026-10-14 |
| R2 | 160.38900 | 2026-09-02 |
| R3 | 163.98400 | 2026-07-23 |
| S1 | 156.37600 | 2026-09-30 |
| S2 | 152.88300 | 2026-09-08 |