USD/JPY – 8H – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %
Entry
156.830
Target
158.949 +1.35 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.376 −0.29 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 253 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 253 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 91 % (14.27) ▼ Bearish 9 % (1.33)
model score 91.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 2.13
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.92
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.91
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.83
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.74
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.45
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.81

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 8H, but higher timeframes are bearish—treat as a counter-trend move.
  • Multiple oversold exit indicators fired, suggesting a bounce from oversold conditions.
  • Key resistance at 158.94900; a break above could shift momentum, while support at 156.37600 is the invalidation level.
  • Lower timeframes (15m/30m) are already bullish, but choppy, indicating early but fragile momentum.
The 8H USD/JPY signal is strongly bullish (91% probability, very strong) despite a predominantly bearish trend across higher timeframes. The confluence of eight indicators—including BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat, and KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat—suggests a coordinated bounce off oversold conditions. The 15m and 30m timeframes are already bullish, though choppy, indicating early momentum that could precede a larger correction. However, the 1H to 12H timeframes remain bearish, with solid trends in the 2H, 4H, and 8H, so this signal may represent a counter-trend rally within a broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 158.94900 is a critical barrier; a break above could signal a shift in sentiment, while failure to hold above support at 156.37600 would invalidate the bullish case.

Traders should watch for alignment: if the bullish momentum in the lower timeframes persists and pushes through the 158.94900 resistance, it could indicate a potential reversal of the higher-timeframe bearish trend. However, the strength of the bearish trends in the 2H and 4H timeframes suggests that any upside may be limited unless higher-timeframe trend scores improve. The signal is strong, but the conflicting trend structure warrants caution. The probability of 91% reflects the indicator confluence, yet the trend alignment is poor, so the move may be sharp but short-lived. Key levels: 158.94900 (resistance) and 156.37600 (support). Watch for a break above resistance to confirm bullish continuation, or a drop below support to invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of eight indicators all pointing bullish, including BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH OS Exit.
  • ▲ Oversold exit signals (STOCH, WILLR) suggest selling pressure may be exhausted.
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m/30m) are already bullish, providing early confirmation of upward momentum.
  • ▲ Strong probability (91%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction in the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H to 12H) are bearish, with solid trends in 2H and 4H, which could cap any upside.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above support at 156.37600, the bullish signal is invalidated.
  • ▼ The choppy/sideways nature of some timeframes suggests low trend quality, so the bounce may be short-lived.
  • ▼ Watch for a rejection at 158.94900 resistance, which would confirm the bearish higher-timeframe trend.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Conviction 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.94900 2026-10-14
R2 160.38900 2026-09-02
R3 163.98400 2026-07-23
S1 156.37600 2026-09-30
S2 152.88300 2026-09-08

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