AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW
2 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %
Entry
110.352
Target
109.489 +0.78 %
closes in profit
Stop
111.308 −0.87 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +20% Intraday
▲ Bullish 9 % (3.03) ▼ Bearish 91 % (32.09)
model score 91.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.46
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.33
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.26
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.88
▲ COPPOCK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.52
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.42
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ TRIX Zero Cross Down indicator 1.31
▼ Gapping Down Doji candlestick 1.11

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish indicators on the 2H timeframe signals a strong sell bias, with a 91% probability.
  • Bearish alignment across 1H, 2H, 4H, and 1D timeframes supports the downtrend, but higher timeframes are choppy.
  • Key levels: resistance at 111.30800 and support at 109.48900; a break below support confirms the bearish case.
  • Short-term bullish pressure on 15m/30m may cause a temporary bounce, so watch for entry timing.
The AUD/JPY 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, TRIX Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA 200, KAMA, MA, SMA 50), alongside a trendline retreat. This confluence of momentum, trend, and moving-average signals points to a strong, coordinated bearish push on the 2H timeframe, with a very strong probability score of 91%. The bearish alignment extends across the 1H, 2H, 4H, and 1D timeframes, though higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy/sideways, suggesting the bearish trend is still forming rather than fully mature.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.30800 and support at 109.48900. A break below the support would confirm bearish continuation, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis. The 15m and 30m timeframes are currently bullish, which could provide a short-term countertrend bounce, but the overall multi-timeframe bearish alignment supports the sell signal. Traders should monitor price action relative to these levels and the higher-timeframe choppiness for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA 200, KAMA, MA, SMA 50) confirm broad-based bearish momentum.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and TRIX Zero Cross Down indicate a shift in buying pressure and trend momentum.
  • ▼ Trendline retreat on the 2H adds a structural bearish element, reinforcing the signal.
  • ▼ Bearish trend scores across multiple timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 1D) show alignment.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy/sideways, which could mean the bearish trend is not yet fully established.
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, which could lead to a short-term countertrend bounce.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the nearest resistance at 111.30800 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the price stalls near support without a clear break, weakening the signal.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 91%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.30800 2026-10-22
S1 109.48900 2026-10-23
S2 108.63400 2026-10-15

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