AUD/CAD – 12H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.22 %
Entry
0.98522
Target
0.97907 +0.62 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.99757 −1.25 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,854 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 5,854 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, SMA Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Position
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (56.00)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
AUD/CAD  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDPPI y/y●●○Forecast 3.2%Previous 3.6%in 3h
  • TomorrowAUDPPI q/q●●○Forecast 1.0%Previous 1.3%in 3h
  • TomorrowCADGDP y/y●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.4%in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 12h 100%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.33
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.83
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.73
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.71
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.66
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.64
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.62
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.61
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.61
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.61
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.55
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.52
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.41
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.28
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.22

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • All timeframes are bearish, but most are choppy/sideways, so the trend is still forming and may lack momentum.
  • A dense cluster of momentum and trendline signals fired simultaneously, reinforcing the bearish case.
  • Watch the 0.97907 support: a break and hold below it would confirm the downtrend; a reclaim of 0.99757 would invalidate.
  • The DX Trend Weak signal suggests the move is not overextended, leaving room for further downside.
The 12H AUD/CAD chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a broad sweep of momentum oscillators (MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing below their zero or signal lines. The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure is dominating, while the DX Trend Weak suggests the bearish move is not yet overextended, leaving room for continuation. With 96% probability and very strong strength, the signal set points to a decisive shift in momentum toward the downside.

Across timeframes, every monitored horizon aligns bearish, though most are in a choppy or sideways phase with trend scores of 1/5. The 15m, 8h, and 12h frames show trend-forming conditions (2/5), indicating the bearish structure is still developing rather than mature. The nearest support at 0.97907 is the immediate downside objective, while resistance at 0.99757 marks the level that would need to reclaim to invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should watch for a clean break and hold below support to confirm the trend's strength.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossed down, creating strong confluence.
  • ▼ Trendline Break Down adds a structural element to the momentum signals.
  • ▼ All timeframes align bearish, even if most are choppy, reducing conflicting directional pressure.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down confirms sellers are in control of the market flow.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Most timeframes are choppy/sideways with low trend scores, which could lead to false breakouts or range-bound behavior.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 0.97907 is a major barrier; if it holds, the bearish momentum may stall.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the 0.99757 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a potential reversal.
  • ▲ The DX Trend Weak signal indicates the trend is not strong yet, so the move could lack follow-through.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-26 10:50
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99757 2026-10-09
R2 0.99962 2026-09-21
S1 0.97907 2026-10-15
S2 0.97794 2026-08-20
S3 0.97509 2026-07-30

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