AUD/CAD – 1D – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-26 10:50 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.31 %

Entry

0.98617

Target

0.97794 +0.83 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99962 −1.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,854 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,854 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % ↑ +2.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 32 % (9.60) ▼ Bearish 68 % (20.68)

model score 68.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

00:30TomorrowAUDPPI y/y●●○Forecast 3.2%Previous 3.6%in 3h
00:30TomorrowAUDPPI q/q●●○Forecast 1.0%Previous 1.3%in 3h
12:30TomorrowCADGDP y/y●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.4%in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.45
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.09
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.05
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.02
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.00
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.99
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.94
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.81

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A high-conviction bearish signal (91% probability) has fired on AUD/CAD daily chart with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned.
All timeframes are bearish, though most are choppy or sideways, suggesting the trend is still forming and may be prone to consolidation.
Key downside target is the nearest support at 0.97794; a break below could confirm further bearish momentum.
The nearest resistance at 0.99962 acts as the immediate hurdle; a reclaim of this level would invalidate the bearish setup.

The AUD/CAD 1D chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, and MIDPRICE Retreat Down, among others. This convergence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to a strong downward push, with the probability rated at 91% and strength tagged as very strong. The bearish alignment is consistent across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to the daily chart, although most lower timeframes are described as choppy or sideways, suggesting the trend is still in its early stages of formation.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.99962 and support at 0.97794. A sustained move below the support could confirm the bearish breakout and open the path for further downside. However, the choppy nature of the lower timeframes indicates that the market may not move in a straight line, and traders should be prepared for potential pullbacks toward resistance before the next leg down. The overall trend score is weak on the daily (1/5), so the signal relies heavily on the confluence of indicators rather than a well-established trend.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 13 bearish signals across indicator and candlestick groups, including BOP, STOCH, DEMA, EMA, and KAMA retreats.
▼ Consistent bearish bias across all timeframes, from 15m to 1D, even if some are choppy.
▼ Strong signal strength (very_strong) and high probability (91%) increase the likelihood of follow-through.
▼ Price is below the nearest resistance, with support at 0.97794 providing a clear downside target.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily trend score is only 1/5 (choppy/sideways), indicating weak trend momentum that could lead to false breakouts or reversals.
▲ Lower timeframes (30m to 4h) are all choppy/sideways, which may cause whipsaws and reduce the reliability of short-term entries.
▲ A bounce from the nearest support at 0.97794 could stall the decline and trigger a corrective move back toward resistance.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.99962 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the setup would fail.