AUD/USD – 12H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %
Entry
0.70273
Target
0.68941 +1.90 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.72374 −2.99 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,854 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 5,854 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: AO Saucer Bearish, KDJ Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % ↑ +12.4 vs previous candle
MODERATE Position
▲ Bullish 22 % (5.02) ▼ Bearish 78 % (17.60)
model score 77.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
AUD/USD  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDPPI y/y●●○Forecast 3.2%Previous 3.6%in 3h
  • TomorrowAUDPPI q/q●●○Forecast 1.0%Previous 1.3%in 3h
  • TomorrowUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 12h 78%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.97
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.66
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.29
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.26
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.21
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.08
▼ ADX Trend Weak indicator 0.76

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish indicators has fired on the 12H chart, all pointing to selling pressure.
  • The trend is bearish on the lower timeframes and the daily, but the 8H and 12H are still bullish and choppy.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.72374 and support at 0.68941.
  • The ADX trend is weak, so the move may lack strong momentum unless the higher timeframe turns.
The 12H AUD/USD signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including ADX Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, AO Saucer Bearish, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and HMA Direction Down. This confluence suggests that selling pressure is building across multiple momentum and trend-following tools, even though the ADX reading indicates the current trend is not yet strongly established. The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability reflect the high alignment of these indicators at the time of the signal.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 15m, 30m, and 1D timeframes are all bearish with a trend forming, while the 1H, 2H, and 4H are bearish but choppy/sideways. The 8H and 12H are still bullish but choppy, which means the higher timeframe has not yet turned. The nearest resistance sits at 0.72374, and the nearest support is at 0.68941. A break below the 12H bullish structure could accelerate the bearish move, while a hold above resistance would invalidate the setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators align in the same direction, increasing the reliability of the signal.
  • ▼ The bearish trend is forming on the daily and lower timeframes, suggesting a broader shift.
  • ▼ The EMA 200 retreat down and AO saucer bearish add confluence to the selling bias.
  • ▼ The signal strength is very strong, indicating a high degree of indicator agreement.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 8H and 12H timeframes are still bullish, which could limit downside or cause a bounce.
  • ▲ The ADX trend is weak, meaning the current trend may lack momentum and could stall.
  • ▲ The 1H, 2H, and 4H are choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear direction on those timeframes.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.72374 would invalidate the bearish setup.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Conviction 78%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-26 10:50
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.72374 2026-09-09
S1 0.68941 2026-10-15
S2 0.68649 2026-06-30

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