ETH/BTC – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-26 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.28 %

Entry

0.02898

Target

0.02978 +2.76 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.02880 −0.62 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,689 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,689 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.68 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.80 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.93 % 21 % at stop avg −3.77 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, HMA Direction Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

38.0 % ↓ −8.5 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 80 % (22.16) ▼ Bearish 20 % (5.40)

model score 11.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.9 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 39.9 % vs 22.5 % (crypto, 1,801 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	0.93
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.89
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	0.73
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	0.70

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish 4H signals fires at the same time, suggesting a short-term upward push within a larger bearish context.
The 4H trend is bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce; watch for a break above 0.02978 to confirm bullish intent.
Support at 0.02880 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the signal and likely resume the downtrend.
Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are all bearish, so any bullish move should be treated as tactical, not strategic.

The 4H signal fires a highly aligned set of bullish indicators — BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, HMA Direction Up, and a Bullish Spinning Top — all converging at the 2026-10-26 17:00 UTC candle. This confluence suggests a short-term momentum shift within the 4H timeframe, even as the broader trend across higher timeframes (2H to 1D) remains firmly bearish. The signal is strongest on the 4H itself, but the 15m and 30m are choppy and mixed, indicating that the bullish push may be fragile and likely a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.02978 and support at 0.02880. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and could attract follow-through, while losing support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the dominant bearish trend. Given the very strong probability and strength of the signal, traders should watch for sustained price action above the 4H moving averages, but remain cautious of the higher-timeframe bearish pressure. The signal's alignment across multiple indicator families (candlestick, momentum, and trend) increases its reliability, yet the conflicting higher timeframes warrant tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple independent indicators (BOP, STOCHF, HT PHASOR, HMA) all fire bullish at the same 4H candle, increasing signal confluence.
▲ The Bullish Spinning Top candlestick pattern adds a classic reversal signal at the current price level.
▲ The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability score suggests high conviction in the 4H momentum shift.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend across 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D is bearish, so the bullish signal may be a short-lived correction.
▼ The 30m and 1H timeframes are bearish and choppy, indicating lack of support from lower-timeframe momentum.
▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 0.02880, the signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
▼ The 15m is choppy/sideways, suggesting indecision that could lead to a false breakout.