EUR/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 17:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.22 %

Entry

1.11770

Target

1.11129 +0.57 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12608 −0.75 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 513 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 513 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

06:30TomorrowEURConsumer Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.5%in 9h
06:30TomorrowEURGDP y/y●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 9h
06:30TomorrowEURGDP q/q●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.0%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	3.01
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.08
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	0.91
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	0.86
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.77
▼	Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.50

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: multiple momentum and trend indicators align on the 4H, with the daily trend very strong.
All timeframes are bearish, supporting a continuation of the downtrend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.12608; a break above would weaken the bearish case.
Support at 1.11129 is the key downside target; a break could accelerate selling.

The EUR/USD 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum and trend indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and WILLR oversold entry, alongside multiple retreats from moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) and a trendline. This confluence points to selling pressure that is broad-based across indicator families. The daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), which provides the dominant directional bias, while shorter timeframes (15m to 2h) are all bearish but still forming, indicating that the current pullback is likely to resume lower rather than reverse.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.12608 and support at 1.11129. The price is currently below resistance, and a sustained hold below this level would keep the bearish structure intact. A break below support would confirm the next leg down, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The alignment across timeframes, with the daily trend very strong, suggests that the path of least resistance is to the downside, but traders should watch for any signs of momentum exhaustion or a false break.

Catalysts

▼ Daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), providing a strong directional bias.
▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, HT TRENDLINE) all show retreats down, confirming the bearish momentum.
▼ Oscillators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) are aligned bearish, supporting the sell signal.
▼ All timeframes are bearish, indicating broad market consensus.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H and 8H timeframes are only 1/5 trend strength, indicating choppy/sideways conditions that could lead to false signals.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 1.12608, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) could trigger a bounce, especially if momentum diverges.
▲ A conflicting higher timeframe signal (e.g., a bullish reversal pattern on the daily) could override the bearish bias.