GBP/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 17:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.13 %

Entry

210.030

Target

208.359 +0.80 %

closes in profit

Stop

211.990 −0.93 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 513 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 513 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 2h
23:30TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 2h
23:30TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.10
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.61
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.44
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.35
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.23
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.13
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.68

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 4H, with multiple indicators crossing down simultaneously.
Trend is bearish on the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 1D), but lower timeframes are choppy and mixed.
Watch resistance at 211.990 for invalidation; support at 208.359 is the immediate target.
Probability is high (92%) but not certain; manage risk accordingly.

The GBP/JPY 4H signal is strongly bearish, with a 92% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of momentum and trend indicators. The simultaneous zero-cross downs on BOP, MOM, and ROC, along with the ROCR cross down and STOCHRSI KD cross down, point to a broad-based shift in momentum to the downside. The DEMA and EMA retreat downs confirm that price is pulling back from recent highs, and the candlestick patterns add bearish confirmation.

Trend alignment across timeframes is generally supportive of the bearish view, with the 2H and 4H showing solid bearish trends (3/5 strength), and the 8H and 1D showing bearish trends in formation. However, the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are choppy and mixed, which could lead to short-term whipsaws. The nearest resistance at 211.990 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 208.359 is the immediate downside target, and a break below that could open the door for further declines.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHRSI) all crossing down at the same time, signaling strong bearish momentum.
▼ Trend alignment across 2H, 4H, 8H, and 1D timeframes, with solid trends on the 2H and 4H.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns add confluence to the technical signals.
▼ Price is retreating from recent highs, as indicated by DEMA and EMA retreat downs.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30m timeframe is showing a bullish trend, which could cause short-term bounces against the bearish bias.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are choppy and sideways, which may lead to false signals or whipsaws.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 211.990 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if price approaches the nearest support at 208.359, leading to a consolidation or reversal.