USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.22 %
Entry
1.40449
Target
1.39684 +0.54 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.40821 −0.26 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), STOCH KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowCADGDP y/y●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.4%in 19h
  • TomorrowCADGDP m/m●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.0%in 19h
  • TomorrowUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 19h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 94%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CMO OB Exit indicator 2.34
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.26
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.69
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.69
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.93

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 30M with multiple confirmations.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) align bearish, supporting the sell.
  • Key support at 1.39684; a break could accelerate downside.
  • Watch resistance at 1.40821; a reclaim would invalidate the setup.
The 30-minute USD/CAD signal is firmly bearish, supported by a confluence of momentum, trend, and candlestick indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down and CMO OB Exit both confirm a shift in buying pressure, while the STOCH KD Cross Down and HMA Retreat Down indicate downward momentum. The Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) and a Bearish Engulfing pattern on the 30-minute chart add weight to the bearish case. Across higher timeframes, the 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day charts all show bearish trends, with the 4-hour being very strong. This alignment suggests the short-term bearish move may be part of a larger downtrend.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.40821 and support at 1.39684. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a move back above resistance would signal a potential reversal. However, the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are still bullish, which could provide counter-pressure. This mixed picture means the trade should be managed carefully, with invalidation clearly defined.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across higher timeframes (4H very strong bearish).
  • ▼ Confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, STOCH, HMA) all pointing down.
  • ▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern adds price-action confirmation.
  • ▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend indicates a structural shift.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H, 2H) are still bullish, creating potential for a bounce.
  • ▲ Resistance at 1.40821 is close; a break above would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the 30M trend fails to follow through.
  • ▲ Choppy 1H trend suggests indecision; watch for whipsaws.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-26 13:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40821 2026-10-21
R2 1.41125 2026-10-19
S1 1.39684 2026-10-23

Tags

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