USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 18:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.10 %

Entry

157.527

Target

158.344 +0.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.311 −0.77 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,345 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,345 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 2h
23:30TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 2h
23:30TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.42
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.40
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.39
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.38
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.42
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	1.20
▲	Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.14

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 1H signal is strongly bullish with high probability and very strong strength, driven by multiple retreat-up indicators and candlestick confirmation.
Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, so this is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.344; a break above could open the door to further upside.
The nearest support at 156.311 is the invalidation level—if broken, the bullish signal loses validity.

The 1H USD/JPY signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 95% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of retreat-up signals across multiple indicators (STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) plus additional candlestick confirmations. This suggests that after a pullback, the pair is resuming its upward momentum on the 1H timeframe, with the stochastic crossover and Williams %R overbought entry pointing to renewed buying pressure.

However, the higher timeframes tell a different story: the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are all bearish, with the 4H showing a solid downtrend. This creates a clear conflict between the short-term bullish signal and the longer-term bearish trend. The nearest resistance at 158.344 is the immediate upside target; a break above that would strengthen the bullish case. Conversely, the nearest support at 156.311 is the key level to watch—if price falls below it, the bullish signal would be invalidated and the higher-timeframe downtrend would likely resume.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple retreat-up signals across a wide range of indicators (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) show strong confluence.
▲ The STOCHF KD Cross Up and WILLR OB Entry add momentum confirmation at the 1H level.
▲ Candlestick patterns (in the signal group) provide additional confirmation of bullish reversal.
▲ The 15m, 30m, and 1H trends are all bullish, showing alignment on the lower timeframes.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, with the 4H showing a solid downtrend—this could overpower the short-term bullish move.
▼ The nearest resistance at 158.344 is a potential ceiling; if price stalls there, the bullish signal may fade.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 156.311, the bullish setup is invalidated and the larger downtrend likely resumes.
▼ The bullish trend is only 'forming' (2/5) on the 1H, indicating it is not yet fully established and could fail.