AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-26 21:00 UTC 46 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.11 %

Entry

110.441

Target

110.082 +0.33 %

closes in profit

Stop

110.758 −0.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,244 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,244 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, ALMA Break Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 14 % (7.17) ▼ Bearish 86 % (43.28)

model score 85.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

05:00TomorrowJPYBoJ Weighted Median Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 1.5%Previous 1.5%in 5h
05:00TomorrowJPYBoJ Trimmed Mean Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.1%Previous 2.2%in 5h
00:30October 28, 2026AUDRBA Trimmed Mean CPI q/q●●○Forecast 0.9%Previous 1.0%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.99
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.74
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.66
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.51
▼	SMA Break Down	indicator	2.51
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.48
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.36
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.19
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.77
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	1.75
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	1.70
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.19
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.11
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.07
▲	Homing Pigeon	candlestick	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 1H chart, led by AROON and moving average breakdowns.
All timeframes align bearish, but the trend is choppy and not yet strongly established on most.
Key resistance at 110.75800 and support at 110.08200 define the immediate range.
Watch for a decisive break below 110.08200 to confirm sustained downside.

The AUD/JPY 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by AROON Cross Down and AROON Strong Downtrend, with AROONOSC Zero Cross Down confirming downside momentum. The EMA Break Down and MA Break Down indicate that price has slipped below key moving averages, while DEMA Retreat Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down suggest that dynamic and static trendlines are now acting as overhead resistance. The additional candlestick and indicator signals reinforce the bearish case, giving the setup a very strong probability rating of 85%.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, though the trend is choppy and sideways on most intraday charts (1/5 strength) and only beginning to form on the 15m and 1d charts (2/5). This suggests that while the direction is clear, the momentum is not yet deeply entrenched. The nearest resistance at 110.75800 is a critical zone to watch for any pullback, while the nearest support at 110.08200 defines the immediate downside target. A break below support would confirm the continuation of the bearish move, but the choppy nature of the trend warrants caution against overextending the position.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple AROON indicators (Cross Down, Strong Downtrend, OSC Zero Cross Down) confirm bearish momentum.
▼ EMA and MA breaks show price trading below key moving averages, reinforcing the downtrend.
▼ DEMA and HT TRENDLINE retreats indicate that trendlines are now overhead resistance.
▼ Uniform bearish bias across all timeframes, even if choppy, supports the signal direction.

Risk Factors

▲ The choppy, sideways trend on most timeframes (1/5 strength) suggests momentum may be weak, risking a false breakdown.
▲ A reclaim of the 110.75800 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a squeeze higher.
▲ The 1D timeframe is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the higher timeframe does not yet strongly support a sustained downtrend.
▲ Watch for any bullish candlestick patterns or RSI divergences that could signal a reversal before support is reached.