AUD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 23:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.49 %

Entry

110.765

Target

111.308 +0.49 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.489 −1.15 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 843 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 843 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Up, KAMA Break Up, MA Retreat Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 16.7 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

05:30TodayJPYBoJ Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 1.3%in 4h
05:30TodayJPYBoJ Outlook Report●●○in 4h
05:30TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 4h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	3.01
▲	KAMA Break Up	indicator	2.86
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.83
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.75
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.73
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.69
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.67
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.65
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.64
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	2.36
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.00
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.63
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	High Wave Bullish	candlestick	1.37
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on the 2H timeframe, but higher timeframes are still bearish.
Key resistance at 111.30800; a break above could flip the broader bias.
Support at 109.48900 is the invalidation level; losing it voids the bullish case.
Low volatility (ADXR Weak) may set up a decisive move, but direction is not guaranteed.

The 2H AUD/JPY signal fires a very strong bullish confluence, with multiple moving-average and trendline breakouts (DEMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, EMA Retreat, HT TRENDLINE Retreat) all aligning on the 2H timeframe. ADXR Trend Weak suggests a low-volatility environment, which can often precede a directional expansion. The signal probability of 97% and 'very strong' strength reflect the broad agreement across indicators and candlestick patterns.

However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, and even the 1H shows bearish bias. This creates a clear conflict: the 2H bullish breakout is an early counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 111.30800 is a critical hurdle; a sustained close above it would shift the higher-timeframe bias. Conversely, support at 109.48900 is the invalidation zone for this bullish signal. The trend scores on higher timeframes are weak (1/5), indicating they are not deeply entrenched, which gives the 2H signal some room to work.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving-average breakouts (DEMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) all align on 2H.
▲ Trendline retreats (EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up) add confluence.
▲ Candlestick patterns support the breakout, increasing signal confidence.
▲ Higher timeframes are only weakly bearish (1/5), so the 2H move could gain traction.

Risk Factors