AUD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW
45 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %
Entry
0.70123
Target
0.70393 +0.39 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.69940 −0.26 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,244 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,244 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DX Trend Strong +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
53.6 % – first candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +1% Intraday
▲ Bullish 58 % (11.40) ▼ Bearish 42 % (8.16)
model score 58.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.2 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 588 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDCore Durable Goods Orders m/m●●○Forecast 1.0%Previous 0.3%in 12h
  • TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 12h
  • TomorrowUSDS&P/CS HPI Composite-20 n.s.a. m/m●●○in 13h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ RSI Regular Bear Div divergence 2.69
▼ SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.47
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.97
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.75
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.67
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.57
▲ Bullish Meeting Lines candlestick 1.29
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.25
▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick 1.14

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Buy signal on AUD/USD 1H, but weak strength and only 58% probability.
  • Mixed trend across timeframes: lower timeframes bearish, higher timeframes bullish but choppy.
  • Bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Meeting Lines, Inverted Hammer) and momentum cross suggest a potential bounce.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.70393, support at 0.70048.
The AUD/USD 1H signal is a BUY, but it arrives against a backdrop of mixed trend alignment. Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, while the 1H and 2H are also bearish but choppy. Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish but also choppy, and the daily is bearish. This creates a conflicting picture, with the buy signal firing in a short-term downtrend. The signal is a composite of several indicators and patterns: an AROON Strong Downtrend, a BOP Zero Cross Up, a DX Trend Strong, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, an EMA 200 Retreat Up, a SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, a Bullish Meeting Lines, and an Inverted Hammer. The combination of a bullish candlestick pattern (Bullish Meeting Lines, Inverted Hammer) with a momentum cross (STOCHF KD Cross Up) and a BOP Zero Cross Up suggests a potential short-term bounce. However, the presence of a Death Cross and a strong downtrend (AROON) indicates that the broader momentum is still bearish. The signal's strength is weak, and the probability is only 58%, so this is a low-conviction buy. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70393 and support at 0.70048. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Meeting Lines, Inverted Hammer) signal a potential reversal.
  • ▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up and BOP Zero Cross Up indicate improving momentum.
  • ▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up suggests the price is pulling back to a key moving average, which could act as support.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, providing a longer-term tailwind.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The signal is weak and has a low probability, indicating a lack of strong conviction.
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, and the 1H trend is also bearish, which could overpower the bullish signals.
  • ▼ The SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross and AROON Strong Downtrend point to continued bearish momentum.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.70048 would invalidate the bullish setup.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 58%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70393 2026-10-26
R2 0.70398 2026-10-26
S1 0.70048 2026-10-23
S2 0.69940 2026-10-22
S3 0.69707 2026-10-20

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