AUD/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-27 05:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.15 %

Entry

0.70273

Target

0.71398 +1.60 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68941 −1.90 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 532 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 532 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, SMA Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.7 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 656 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 3h
13:45TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 4h
00:30November 2, 2026AUDBuilding Approvals m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous -6.1%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.75
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.53
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.51
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.44
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.35
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	2.04
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.04
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.02
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.80
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.52
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.27
▲	Hammer	candlestick	1.15
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.13

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong BUY signal on 4H but trend scores are weak and choppy across all timeframes.
Mixed signals: momentum indicators are weak/down, but moving average retreats up suggest a bullish push.
Key levels: resistance at 0.70365, support at 0.68941.
Bearish 4H and 1D timeframes conflict with the bullish signal, so watch for confirmation.

The AUD/USD 4H signal fires a BUY with strong probability (77%) despite a choppy, sideways market structure across most timeframes. The signal composition is mixed: several momentum and trend indicators (ADXR, DI, DM) show weak or cross-down readings, while EMA, KAMA, and MA retreats up suggest a short-term upward push. The confluence of retreat-up signals on three moving average families points to a fresh bullish impulse, but the broader trend scores are weak (1/5) and the 4H and 1D timeframes are bearish, creating a conflicting backdrop.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70365 and support at 0.68941. The bullish signal suggests a potential move toward resistance, but the bearish higher timeframes (4H and 1D) and the choppy, sideways nature of all timeframes argue for caution. The signal's strength is high, but the lack of trend alignment across timeframes reduces confidence. A break above resistance would confirm bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of EMA, KAMA, and MA retreat-up signals indicates a coordinated upward move.
▲ Strong probability (77%) and strong signal strength suggest conviction in the bullish direction.
▲ The signal includes candlestick patterns that may support a bullish reversal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (4H and 1D) could outweigh the 4H bullish signal.
▼ Choppy, sideways market conditions (1/5 trend scores) mean the signal may lack follow-through.
▼ A break below nearest support at 0.68941 would invalidate the bullish thesis.
▼ Weak momentum indicators (ADXR, DI, DM) suggest the bullish move may lack strength.