EUR/CAD – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW
45 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %
Entry
1.56599
Target
1.57353 +0.48 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.55149 −0.93 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,244 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,244 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ULTOSC OS Exit, ZLMA Break Up, HMA Retreat Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
53.6 % – first candle
WEAK Intraday
▲ Bullish 61 % (6.77) ▼ Bearish 39 % (4.34)
model score 61.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 746 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEURECB Households Loans y/y●●○Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.1%in 9h
  • TomorrowEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 17h
  • TomorrowEURJobseekers Total●●○Forecast 3104.4KPrevious 3081.7Kin 23h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ULTOSC OS Exit indicator 1.98
▼ SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 1.98
▲ ZLMA Break Up indicator 1.93
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.48
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.38
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.09
▼ Shooting Star candlestick 0.98

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 1H BUY signal is a counter-trend bounce against a strongly bearish multi-timeframe trend.
  • Multiple indicators (ULTOSC, BBANDS, HMA, ZLMA) suggest short-term bullish momentum, but the Death Cross and Shooting Star warn of downside risk.
  • Watch the 1.57353 resistance and 1.56462 support; a break of support invalidates the bullish case.
  • Signal strength is weak (61%), so position sizing should be conservative.
The EUR/CAD 1H signal is a BUY, but it fires against a predominantly bearish backdrop across all timeframes. The signal is a confluence of short-term mean-reversion and momentum exhaustion indicators: ULTOSC OS Exit suggests the oscillator has left oversold territory, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicates price has bounced off the lower Bollinger Band, and HMA Retreat Up plus ZLMA Break Up point to a short-term upward reversal. The SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, however, are lagging bearish signals that may temper the bullish case. The Shooting Star pattern adds a cautionary note, hinting at potential selling pressure near resistance.

Trend alignment is overwhelmingly bearish, with solid bearish trends on 15m, 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d, and only the 1H showing choppy/sideways action. This means the bullish signal is essentially a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 1.57353 and nearest support at 1.56462. A break above resistance would signal a stronger reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend. Given the weak strength (61% probability) and the conflicting higher timeframe trend, this signal should be treated with caution, likely as a short-term scalp rather than a trend-following trade.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Oscillator exit from oversold (ULTOSC OS Exit) and bounce off lower Bollinger Band indicate short-term buying pressure.
  • ▲ HMA and ZLMA retreat/break up signal a potential short-term reversal.
  • ▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways, which can allow range-bound bounces.
  • ▲ The current price is near support, providing a potential springboard for a bounce.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The overwhelming bearish trend across all higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) argues against a sustained upside move.
  • ▼ The SMA 20/50 Death Cross and HT Phasor Inphase Cross Down are bearish signals that could dominate.
  • ▼ The Shooting Star pattern near resistance suggests possible rejection and a return to the downtrend.
  • ▼ A break below the 1.56462 support level would invalidate the bullish signal and likely accelerate the decline.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 61%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.57353 2026-10-26
R2 1.58064 2026-10-21
R3 1.58190 2026-10-20
S1 1.56462 2026-10-23

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