EUR/JPY – 1D – SELL

SELL NEW
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %
Entry
175.705
Target
172.582 +1.78 %
closes in profit
Stop
186.015 −5.87 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 6,064 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 6,064 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK Position
▲ Bullish 12 % (2.19) ▼ Bearish 88 % (15.36)
model score 16.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
EUR/JPY  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 2, 2026EURRetail Sales m/m●●○Forecast -0.2%Previous 1.3%in 2 days
  • November 4, 2026EURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 4 days
  • November 4, 2026EURCore CPI●●●Previous 103.31in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1d 17%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.37
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.76
▼ T3 Retreat Down indicator 1.76
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.72
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.53
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.98

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple retreat indicators and a QSTICK zero cross down align on the daily timeframe, signaling strong bearish momentum.
  • The Long Legged Doji highlights indecision, but the cluster of bearish signals tilts the bias toward further downside.
  • Resistance at 186.01500 is the key level to watch; a rejection here would reinforce the sell signal.
  • Higher timeframes (8h, 12h) are in solid downtrends, supporting the bearish outlook, but lower timeframes are choppy.
The SELL signal on EUR/JPY daily is backed by a cluster of retreat indicators (BBANDS LOWER, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, T3, ALMA) all pointing down, reinforced by a QSTICK zero cross down and a Long Legged Doji candlestick. This confluence suggests fading momentum and a potential shift from the recent upward pressure, with the nearest resistance at 186.01500 acting as a key barrier. The bearish trend is consistent across higher timeframes (8h and 12h solid, 4h forming), though lower timeframes remain choppy, indicating the move may be developing rather than fully mature.

Traders should watch for a break below recent lows to confirm the bearish continuation, as the lack of a defined support level leaves room for further downside. The strong probability (87%) and very strong signal strength add conviction, but the choppy lower timeframes and the absence of a clear support zone warrant caution. The daily timeframe is still in a trend-forming phase, so confirmation on lower timeframes would strengthen the case for a sustained decline.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of six retreat indicators plus QSTICK zero cross down on the daily chart.
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes.
  • ▼ Long Legged Doji candlestick pattern suggests a potential reversal from recent highs.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability (87%) increase confidence.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are choppy and lack a clear trend, which could lead to false breakouts.
  • ▲ The daily timeframe is only in a 'trend forming' phase, so the bearish move may not be fully established.
  • ▲ A break above 186.01500 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ The absence of a defined support level means there is no clear downside target, increasing uncertainty.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1D
Direction SELL
Conviction 17%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 186.01500 2026-08-21
R2 187.46700 2026-07-29

Tags

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