EUR/USD – 12H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.26 %
Entry
1.11416
Target
1.11129 +0.26 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12696 −1.15 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 203 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 203 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.72 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.51 % 18 % at stop avg −0.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, ALMA Break Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/USD  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURUnemployment Rate●●○Forecast 6.4%Previous 6.4%in 31m
  • TodayEURGDP y/y●●●Forecast 1.2%Previous 1.2%in 31m
  • TodayEURGDP q/q●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.6%in 31m

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 6 × 12h 17%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 1.94
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 1.86
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 1.86
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.84
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.73
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.67
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 1.66
▼ MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div divergence 1.65
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.60
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.46
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.45
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.42
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 1.15
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.08
▼ COPPOCK Zero Cross Down indicator 0.80

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal with 92% probability and very strong strength on the 12H timeframe.
  • Multiple indicators (DX Trend, MACD, Bollinger Bands, EMA, trendlines, KAMA, MA, MAMA) align for a sell.
  • Trend alignment is solid on lower and daily timeframes, but choppy on 8H and forming on 2H/4H/12H.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.12696, support at 1.11129; watch for breaks.
The EUR/USD 12H signal is strongly bearish, with a 92% probability and very strong strength, backed by a broad cluster of indicators including DX Trend Strong, MACD Signal Cross Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, and MAMA PRICE Break Down, among others. This confluence of momentum, trend, and price-action indicators points to sustained downside pressure. The alignment across timeframes is notable: while shorter timeframes (15m to 1h) show solid bearish trends and the 1D timeframe exhibits a very strong bearish trend, the intermediate timeframes (2h, 4h, 12h) are only trend-forming, and the 8H is choppy/sideways. This suggests the bearish move is well-established on lower and higher scales but may still be consolidating in the middle, implying that the sell signal is part of a broader downtrend but could face near-term chop.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.11129 and resistance at 1.12696. A break below support would confirm continued bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would signal a potential reversal. The strong trend score on the daily timeframe and the dense indicator cluster support the bearish case, but the mixed intermediate timeframes and the proximity of resistance highlight the need for caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Broad indicator confluence: over 8 signals firing together, including trend, momentum, and price action.
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend on the 1D timeframe (4/5) supports the longer-term direction.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trends on 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes confirm near-term momentum.
  • ▼ MACD signal cross down and Bollinger Bands lower break indicate momentum and volatility expansion to the downside.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Intermediate timeframes (2H, 4H, 12H) are only trend-forming, and 8H is choppy/sideways, which may cause consolidation or pullback.
  • ▲ Resistance at 1.12696 is nearby; a reclaim above it would invalidate the bearish thesis.
  • ▲ If the daily trend weakens or momentum fades, the sell signal could stall before reaching support.
  • ▲ Watch for any reversal signals on lower timeframes that could precede a bounce off support.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Conviction 17%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12696 2026-10-16
R2 1.16538 2026-09-09
R3 1.17109 2026-08-21
S1 1.11129 2026-10-14

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