EUR/USD – 1D – SELL

SELL NEW
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.38 %
Entry
1.11249
Target
1.09329 +1.73 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.17109 −5.27 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 6,064 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 6,064 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down, T3 Break Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK Position
▲ Bullish 7 % (2.98) ▼ Bearish 93 % (37.16)
model score 17.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
EUR/USD  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • November 2, 2026EURRetail Sales m/m●●○Forecast -0.2%Previous 1.3%in 2 days
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 2 days
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1d 17%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.82
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 2.75
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.35
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.23
▼ SAR Flip Bearish indicator 2.15
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.09
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.86
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.67
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.67
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.66
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.22
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 0.88
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 0.88
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 0.66

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the daily timeframe with 92% probability and very strong strength.
  • All timeframes are bearish, with the 1D and 1H showing very strong trends.
  • Nearest resistance at 1.17109 is the key level to watch; a break above could invalidate the bearish signal.
  • Oversold conditions on the daily chart may cause a short-term bounce, but the trend remains down.
The EUR/USD 1D signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including AROON Cross Up, AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, ROCR Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, EMA Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down, alongside more than a dozen additional signals. This confluence points to strong downward momentum and a well-established bearish trend. The trend across timeframes is uniformly bearish, with the 1D and 1H showing very strong trends (4/5), while the 30m, 2h, and 4h are solidly bearish. Although the 8h shows choppy/sideways action, the overall alignment supports the continuation of the bearish move.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance is at 1.17109, which now acts as a critical barrier for any bounce. With no defined support level, the downside is open, and the pair is likely to seek new lows. The WILLR OS Entry signals that the market is oversold on the daily timeframe, which could lead to a short-term pullback, but the strength of the trend suggests any bounce is likely to be sold. Traders should monitor the 1.17109 level as a potential pivot for trend invalidation if price reclaims it.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with very strong trend scores on 1D and 1H.
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) confirm downward acceleration.
  • ▼ AROON and AROONOSC cross signals indicate strong downtrend continuation.
  • ▼ EMA and KAMA retreat signals show price pulling away from moving averages, reinforcing bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) may trigger a technical bounce, temporarily countering the bearish move.
  • ▲ The 8h timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to consolidation or a pause in the downtrend.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.17109 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ The lack of a defined support level means the downside could be open, but also increases the risk of a sharp reversal if any bullish catalyst emerges.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1D
Direction SELL
Conviction 17%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.17109 2026-08-21

Tags

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