EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 28× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.06 %
Entry
1.11408
Target
1.11223 +0.17 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12267 −0.77 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,675 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,675 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Rectangle, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 32m
  • TodayEURCPI y/y●●●Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.3%in 1h
  • TodayEURCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.6%in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 35%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 28× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Rectanglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.18
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.87
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.35
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.35
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals align (Rectangle, BOP zero cross down, MA retreats) — all pointing lower.
  • Trend is consistently bearish across most timeframes; daily trend is very strong.
  • Key level to watch: nearest resistance at 1.12267 — a break above would weaken the bearish case.
  • With a 94% probability and very strong strength, the current setup favors downside follow-through.
  • No defined support ahead — downside may extend, but be alert for sharp reversals on low-liquidity moves.
The EUR/USD 30-minute chart is flashing a densely bearish signal cluster with 94% probability and very strong strength. The dominant theme is a broad-based retreat: price is pulling back from recent highs as multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) converge lower, and the MAMA PRICE Retreat Down confirms momentum is unwinding. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates that buying pressure has flipped to selling, while the Rectangle pattern (likely a bearish rectangle continuation) adds a chart-pattern confluence. The HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down reinforces that the higher-timeframe trendline is also breaking down, aligning the short-term move with the broader downtrend.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent but not uniformly strong: the 15m, 30m, and 1h all show solid to very strong bearish trends, while the 2h, 4h, and 12h are still in the 'forming' phase (2/5). The 8h is choppy/sideways, which introduces some counter-trend noise. However, the daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), providing the macro tailwind. Immediate resistance lies at 1.12267; as long as price holds below that, the bearish setup remains valid. No immediate support level is defined, so traders should watch for a potential acceleration or a bounce from unmarked levels.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of 10+ signals including chart pattern, candlestick, and indicator groups.
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, plus very strong daily trend.
  • ▼ BOP zero cross down and MAMA PRICE Retreat Down confirm momentum shift lower.
  • ▼ Price trading below nearest resistance at 1.12267, with no nearby support to cushion.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 12h) only show forming bearish trends — trend depth is limited.
  • ▲ 8h timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could mean the broader trend is stalling.
  • ▲ A break above resistance at 1.12267 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if price approaches unmarked psychological levels or if the Rectangle target is reached.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 35%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-27 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12267 2026-10-26
R2 1.12314 2026-10-22
R3 1.12560 2026-10-22

Tags

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