NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 22:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.35 %

Entry

0.56871

Target

0.57072 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56678 −0.34 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,345 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,345 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Break Up, MIDPOINT Break Up, HMA Break Up +17 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 546 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 11h
13:45TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 12h
15:00November 2, 2026USDConstruction Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.9%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.54
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	2.26
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.23
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.08
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.99
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	1.95
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.86
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.48
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.25
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.25
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.12
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.09
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.98
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	0.96

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of 1H momentum indicators (CCI, CMO, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, STOCH) all fired bullish, signaling a strong reversal attempt.
The 12H timeframe is bullish and solid, providing higher-timeframe support, but the 1D is bearish, so this is a counter-trend long within a larger downtrend.
Watch the 0.57072 resistance: a break above confirms the move, while a drop below 0.56678 support invalidates the signal.
All lower timeframes (15m–4H) are still bearish, so the bullish reversal is early and needs confirmation on the 2H and 4H charts.

The 1H NZD/USD signal has fired a dense cluster of momentum and oscillator indicators all pointing to a bullish reversal, including CCI OS Exit, CMO Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and STOCH KD Cross Up. This broad confluence on the 1H timeframe suggests that downside pressure is exhausting and that buying momentum is building. However, the higher timeframes are mixed: the 8H and 12H are bullish (with the 12H showing a solid trend), while the 1D remains bearish with a solid trend. This means the bullish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger bearish structure, and traders should treat it as a tactical long rather than a trend change.

Key levels to watch are immediate: resistance at 0.57072 and support at 0.56678. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and open the door to higher prices, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal. Given the 97% probability and very strong strength, the signal is compelling, but the conflicting 1D trend warrants caution. The 15m to 4H timeframes are still bearish, so the reversal is just forming; sustained buying on the lower timeframes will be needed to push through resistance.

Catalysts

▲ Broad confluence of 21 indicators firing bullish on the 1H, including multiple zero-cross and midline-cross signals, indicating strong momentum shift.
▲ The 12H timeframe shows a solid bullish trend, providing higher-timeframe support for the 1H signal.
▲ The signal is very strong with 97% probability, suggesting high statistical confidence in the setup.
▲ The cluster of oscillator cross-ups (RSI, CMO, MOM, ROC) suggests that downside momentum has been exhausted and buying pressure is building.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1D timeframe is bearish with a solid trend, which could overpower the 1H counter-trend move and lead to a failed reversal.
▼ The 15m to 4H timeframes are all bearish, so the bullish signal is isolated to the 1H and not yet confirmed by other intraday timeframes.
▼ Immediate resistance at 0.57072 is close; if price fails to break above it, the bullish momentum may fade quickly.
▼ A drop below the 0.56678 support level would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader bearish trend.