SOL/BTC – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.72 %
Entry
0.001254
Target
0.001244 +0.82 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.001300 −3.68 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,718 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,718 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.67 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.91 % 21 % at stop avg −3.75 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % ↓ −2.0 vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 4 % (0.92) ▼ Bearish 96 % (25.04)
model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
SOL/BTC  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 4h 0%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.52
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.23
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.22
▼ DEMA Break Down indicator 2.06
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.96
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.95
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 1.83
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.81
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.81
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.75
▼ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.57
▼ HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.26
▼ AROON Cross Down indicator 1.25
▼ AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.25
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.07
▼ Gapping Down Doji candlestick 0.96
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 0.90
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 0.75

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 4H with multiple indicators aligning.
  • All timeframes show bearish bias, supporting continuation.
  • Watch 0.00124 support; a break confirms downside, while 0.00130 resistance is the key invalidation zone.
  • High probability (88%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction.
The SOL/BTC pair on the 4H timeframe has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, DX Trend Strong, MACD Signal Cross Down, STOCH OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, and DEMA Break Down, among others. This confluence points to a strong and coordinated bearish momentum, with the trend score at very strong and a high probability of continuation. The alignment across timeframes is broadly bearish, with solid trends on the 15m, 8h, and 12h charts, and forming trends on the others, suggesting that the downtrend is consistent across multiple horizons, reinforcing the signal's validity.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.00130 and support at 0.00124. A break below the support would likely confirm the bearish outlook, while a reclaim of the resistance could signal a potential reversal. The combination of trend indicators and candlestick patterns (as noted in the signal groups) suggests that sellers are in control, but traders should watch for any signs of momentum fading, especially given the mixed strength across timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of over 15 signals, including AROON and MACD crossdowns.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 8h and 12h timeframes (solid bearish).
  • ▼ Momentum indicators (STOCH, WILLR) exiting overbought conditions, adding to bearish pressure.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframe (1d) only shows forming trend, not solid, which could limit follow-through.
  • ▲ If price reclaims 0.00130 resistance, the bearish setup may be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the 15m trend weakens, as it currently leads the move.
Symbol SOL/BTC
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-27 04:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00130 2026-10-20
R2 0.00135 2026-10-12
R3 0.00142 2026-10-06
S1 0.00124 2026-10-24
S2 0.00124 2026-10-18

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