USD/CAD – 12H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-26 21:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.46 %

Entry

1.40208

Target

1.43000 +1.99 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.37593 −1.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 203 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 203 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.72 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.51 % 18 % at stop avg −0.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 72 % (24.19) ▼ Bearish 28 % (9.27)

model score 7.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.7 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 656 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

12:30TodayCADGDP y/y●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.4%in 2h
12:30TodayCADGDP m/m●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.0%in 2h
12:30TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.67
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.25
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.08
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.97
▲	Tweezers Bottom	candlestick	0.94
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 12H, but higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are still bearish—so this may be a counter-trend bounce.
Multiple indicators align: oscillators exiting oversold, trend indicators turning up, and a Bullish Engulfing candle.
Watch the 1.43000 resistance; a break could confirm the move, while rejection may lead back toward support.
Probability is high (83%) and strength is strong, but conflicting higher-timeframe trends warrant caution.

The 12H USD/CAD signal fires a dense cluster of bullish indicators, with a strong probability of 83% and strong overall strength. The set includes a BOP Zero Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, T3 Retreat Up, ER Level Cross Down, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Up, TTM TREND Trend Up, and a Bullish Engulfing candle. Together, these suggest a shift from bearish pressure to bullish momentum, with multiple oscillators exiting oversold conditions and trend-following indicators turning up. The Bullish Engulfing on the 12H candle adds a clear candlestick confirmation, reinforcing the idea that buyers are stepping in.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans supportive for the shorter term. The 15m and 1h-4h timeframes are bullish, though mostly choppy or forming, while the 4h shows a solid uptrend. However, the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes remain bearish, with the 8h and 1d showing solid downtrends. This means the bullish signal is firing against the higher-timeframe trend, so it may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal. The nearest resistance at 1.43000 is a key barrier; a break above would strengthen the case, while failure could see a pullback to support at 1.37593.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of eight bullish signals across indicator and candlestick groups.
▲ Bullish Engulfing on the 12H candle provides a strong candlestick confirmation.
▲ Oscillators (BOP, WILLR, ERI) all show bullish crossovers or exits from oversold conditions.
▲ 4H timeframe shows a solid uptrend, offering some alignment for the medium term.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish with solid trends, suggesting the bullish move may be a counter-trend correction.
▼ The 30M timeframe is bearish and choppy, indicating near-term resistance to the move.
▼ If the price fails to break above 1.43000, the bullish signal could fade and a pullback to support at 1.37593 becomes likely.
▼ Strength of the higher-timeframe downtrend could overpower the 12H signal, leading to a false breakout.