USD/CAD – 8H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-10-26 21:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.36 %

Entry

1.40193

Target

1.43000 +2.00 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.37593 −1.85 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 9 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 285 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 285 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.64 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.42 % 18 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KST Signal Cross Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 80 % (13.25) ▼ Bearish 20 % (3.33)

model score 8.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 10 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 16.7 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

12:30TodayCADGDP y/y●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.4%in 5h
12:30TodayCADGDP m/m●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.0%in 5h
12:30TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KST Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.22
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.71
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.44
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.26
▲	Tweezers Bottom	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 8H signal is bullish, but it is firing against a solidly bearish backdrop across 4H to 1D timeframes.
A Tweezers Bottom and multiple indicator retreats suggest a short-term bounce attempt, not a trend reversal.
Watch the 1.43000 resistance; a failure to break it would likely invalidate the bullish move.
The 1.37593 support is the key invalidation level—if broken, the bullish signal is void.

The 8H USD/CAD signal is firing a bullish cluster at a moment when the higher timeframes remain firmly bearish. The confluence of BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Down (which here indicates a bullish momentum shift), MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, CTI OS Exit, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down, KST Signal Cross Up, and a Tweezers Bottom suggests that the pair is attempting a bottoming process after a prolonged downtrend. The retreats off the SMA 200 and the oversold exit point to a potential mean-reversion bounce, while the candlestick pattern reinforces the idea of a short-term reversal.

However, the trend alignment is clearly conflicting: the 15m to 1h timeframes remain bearish, and the 4h through 1d are all solidly bearish. This means the bullish signal is firing against the prevailing multi-timeframe trend, which reduces its reliability. The nearest resistance at 1.43000 is a critical barrier—if the pair cannot reclaim this level, the bounce is likely to fail. The nearest support at 1.37593 is the invalidation zone; a break below would negate the bullish setup. Traders should treat this as a tactical counter-trend opportunity, not a trend change, and watch for the higher timeframes to shift before committing.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, MAMA, SMA 200, CTI, KST) are aligning to signal an upward correction.
▲ The Tweezers Bottom candlestick pattern adds confirmation of a potential reversal at the lows.
▲ The pair is coming out of oversold conditions (CTI OS Exit), which often leads to a bounce.
▲ The retreat up off the SMA 200 suggests that the long-term moving average is acting as a dynamic support.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are all bearish, which could easily override any short-term bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.43000 is a strong ceiling; a failure to break it would likely send the pair back down.
▼ The 15m to 1h timeframes are still bearish, indicating that the immediate momentum is not yet with the bulls.
▼ If the pair breaks below 1.37593, the entire bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.