USD/JPY – 12H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-26 21:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.39 %

Entry

157.739

Target

158.949 +0.77 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.376 −0.86 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 203 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 203 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.72 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.51 % 18 % at stop avg −0.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, ZLMA Break Up, MAMA PRICE Break Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 87 % (37.87) ▼ Bearish 13 % (5.75)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 1h
13:45TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 2h
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	3.14
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	3.02
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.89
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.79
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	2.67
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.60
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.58
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.46
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.19
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.93
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	RSX OS Exit	indicator	1.50
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.37
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.88

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 12H, but higher timeframes are bearish—so treat as a counter-trend move.
Watch resistance at 158.94900; a clear break could open the path for further upside.
Support at 156.37600 is the key invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish setup.
The 93% probability and very strong strength reflect solid momentum, but not a confirmed reversal on daily.

A dense cluster of bullish signals has fired on the USD/JPY 12H chart, led by a Trendline Break Up and reinforced by momentum oscillators (CCI, CMO, RSI) all crossing above their zero/midline levels, plus KAMA and MAMA price breaks to the upside. The breadth of the signal set (over 15 individual triggers) indicates strong internal alignment, and the probability score of 93% with 'very strong' strength reflects solid technical conviction from this timeframe’s perspective.

However, the broader picture is mixed: while intraday timeframes (15m to 4h) are bullish and trending up, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bearish and choppy. This suggests the signal is firing against the larger daily bias, so the rally may be a corrective bounce rather than a full trend reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.94900 and support at 156.37600; a break above resistance would confirm bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Over 15 signals fired simultaneously, indicating broad technical alignment within the 12H timeframe.
▲ Consistent bullish trend across all intraday timeframes from 15m to 4h, supporting the move.
▲ Trendline break and multiple zero-line crosses (CCI, CMO, RSI) suggest fresh momentum entering.
▲ MAMA and KAMA price breaks add confluence from adaptive trend-following indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, suggesting the rally may be a pullback within a larger downtrend.
▼ Resistance at 158.94900 is nearby and could cap upside, especially if the daily trend reasserts.
▼ Choppy, weak trend scores on several timeframes imply fragile momentum that could fade quickly.
▼ Invalidation level: a close below 156.37600 would break the bullish thesis and likely trigger a sell-off.