USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-27 03:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.07 %

Entry

157.721

Target

156.075 +1.04 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.603 −0.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 843 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 843 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 5h
13:45TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 6h
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	3.07
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.46
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.25
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.19

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators on the 2H chart point to downward momentum.
Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) show a bullish trend forming, so the bearish signal may be counter-trend and require confirmation.
Watch the nearest support at 156.075; breaking below it would confirm the bearish move.
The nearest resistance at 158.603 is a key level; a move above it would invalidate the bearish signal.

The 2H chart for USD/JPY has triggered a cluster of bearish indicators, including a STOCH KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, and HMA Break Down. Together, these signals point to a shift in momentum to the downside after a period of upward movement. The retreat of both the EMA 200 and SMA 200 suggests that longer-term moving averages have turned lower, reinforcing the bearish bias.

However, the broader trend picture is mixed: while the 2H timeframe shows a bullish trend forming (with a score of 2/5), the 15m, 8h, 12h, and 1D timeframes are bearish, though mostly choppy or trend forming. This divergence indicates that the bearish signals on the 2H chart may be an early counter-trend move rather than a major reversal. The nearest resistance at 158.603 and support at 156.075 are key levels to watch; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a move back above resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of five bearish indicators on the 2H timeframe.
▼ Longer-term moving averages (EMA 200 and SMA 200) are retreating, reinforcing the bearish view.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m) are bearish, providing some alignment with the sell signal.
▼ The signal strength is 'very strong' with a high probability (100%).

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) show a bullish trend forming, which could override the bearish signal.
▲ The bearish trend on lower timeframes is choppy and weak (score 1/5), indicating a lack of strong downside momentum.
▲ A rebound from support or a break above resistance at 158.603 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If the bullish trend on the 4H timeframe resumes, the sell signal could be a false breakout.