AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL NEW
4 days ago
The plan for this signal
Running · now +0.11 %
Entry
111.015
Target
110.807 +0.19 %
closes in profit
Stop
729.087 −556.75 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,720 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,720 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 %
34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 %
40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 %
9 % at stop avg −0.35 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: KST Signal Cross Down, SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +7 more
Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
40.3 %
↓ −20.7 vs previous candle
▲ Bullish 8 % (1.19)
▼ Bearish 92 % (13.76)
model score 31.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 9.2 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 16.8 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 513 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 1 day
- TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 1 day
- TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 1 day
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | KST Signal Cross Down | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | Bearish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 1.20 |
| ▲ | Stick Sandwich | candlestick | 1.19 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 1.06 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.02 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.93 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.90 |
Trend Context
15MUPExtremely strong trend
30MUPExtremely strong trend
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A powerful cluster of bearish signals has fired on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a potential short-term pullback.
- The broader trend is bullish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal against the prevailing direction.
- Key levels to watch: resistance at 111.30800 and support at 110.32400; a break below support would confirm the bearish move.
- The signal's high probability (92%) and very strong strength indicate strong short-term bearish momentum, but the bullish higher timeframes warrant caution.
A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on AUD/JPY at the 30-minute timeframe, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, KST Signal Cross Down, SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down, ALMA Retreat Down, a Stick Sandwich, and a Bearish Engulfing pattern. This convergence of momentum, trend, and candlestick signals points to a short-term shift in sentiment, suggesting that the recent upside momentum is stalling and a pullback may be underway. The signal's very strong strength and high probability reflect the breadth of confirmation across different indicator families.
However, the broader trend context is notably bullish across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to 8 hours, with the strongest trend scores on the lower timeframes. This creates a potential conflict: the bearish signal is firing against the prevailing higher-timeframe trend. The nearest resistance at 111.30800 and support at 110.32400 define the immediate trading range. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a rebound from support could see the bullish trend resume. The signal is best viewed as a counter-trend opportunity within a larger uptrend, requiring careful risk management.
However, the broader trend context is notably bullish across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to 8 hours, with the strongest trend scores on the lower timeframes. This creates a potential conflict: the bearish signal is firing against the prevailing higher-timeframe trend. The nearest resistance at 111.30800 and support at 110.32400 define the immediate trading range. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a rebound from support could see the bullish trend resume. The signal is best viewed as a counter-trend opportunity within a larger uptrend, requiring careful risk management.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals across momentum, trend, and candlestick groups, including a Bearish Engulfing and Stick Sandwich.
- ▼ The signal's very strong strength and high probability (92%) suggest broad-based confirmation of bearish momentum.
- ▼ A clear resistance level at 111.30800 provides a defined area where sellers may step in.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The bullish trend across all timeframes, especially the extremely strong trends on 15m and 30m, could overpower the bearish signal and lead to a quick reversal higher.
- ▲ The signal is counter-trend; if the price breaks above the nearest resistance at 111.30800, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the price stalls above support, leading to a sideways consolidation rather than a sustained decline.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
32%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-10-28 05:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.30800 | 2026-10-22 |
| S1 | 110.32400 | 2026-10-26 |
| S2 | 110.08200 | 2026-10-26 |
| S3 | 109.79300 | 2026-10-23 |