AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 15:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.22 %

Entry

0.70396

Target

0.70250 +0.21 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70748 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, ER Level Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.1 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 16.6 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 517 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDConstruction Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.9%in 3h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 3h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.37
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A 30-minute sell signal fires at a local extreme, but the higher timeframes are mostly bullish, making this a counter-trend play.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.70405 and support at 0.70250; a break below support would confirm bearish momentum.
The signal cluster includes momentum and volatility indicators, but the weak strength and choppy price action suggest limited follow-through.
The daily chart is bearish, offering some longer-term alignment, but the immediate trend is bullish and may absorb the pullback.

The AUD/USD 30-minute SELL signal fires as a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators align at a local extreme. The BOP Zero Cross Down and ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up both point to a shift in buying pressure, while the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up suggests a short-term phase change that may precede a pullback. The ER Level Cross Down and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicate that price has moved significantly above its mean, increasing the likelihood of a reversion. The Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a price-action confirmation of a potential reversal from the recent highs.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across most timeframes, from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, with only the daily chart showing bearish formation. This creates a conflict: the sell signal is a counter-trend move against the prevailing bullish momentum. The nearest resistance at 0.70405 is just above, and support at 0.70250 is nearby, so the trade is likely to be short-lived unless the daily bearish trend gains traction. The overall signal strength is weak, and the probability is moderate at 62%, suggesting limited conviction. Traders should watch for a failure to hold below the support level, which would invalidate the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, ERI, ER, ZSCORE) all point to a loss of upward momentum and a potential reversion from an extreme.
▼ The Bearish Harami candlestick pattern provides a price-action confirmation of a possible reversal.
▼ The daily timeframe shows a bearish trend forming, which could support a larger move if the sell signal aligns with it.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend across most timeframes (15m to 12h) is a strong headwind; a counter-trend sell is likely to be short-lived.
▲ The signal strength is weak (probability 62%), and price action is choppy/sideways, reducing confidence in a sustained move.
▲ If price fails to break below the nearest support at 0.70250, the bearish thesis is invalidated and a bounce toward resistance is likely.
▲ The 1-hour and daily trends are only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the higher-timeframe bearish alignment is not yet established.