EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-02 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %

Entry

1.12028

Target

1.11365 +0.59 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12267 −0.21 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,436 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,436 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat +5 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Intraday

▲ Bullish 24 % (3.84) ▼ Bearish 76 % (12.44)

model score 7.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 588 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 2h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	1.98
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.87
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.86
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.61
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.54
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.46
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A heavy cluster of bearish reversal signals on the 1H suggests the recent uptick is fading and a pullback is likely.
The nearest resistance at 1.12148 is the key invalidation level; a break above it would negate the bearish setup.
The daily timeframe remains strongly bearish, supporting the idea that the 1H sell is a pullback within a larger downtrend.
Watch the nearest support at 1.11365; a break below it would open the door for further downside.

The 1H EUR/USD signal fires a dense cluster of bearish reversal triggers: a Stochastic oscillator exit from overbought, a Golden Cross on the 20/50 SMA that is now being undermined by a Phasor in-phase cross down, plus retreats from upper bands on the HMA, AccuBands, and Keltner channels. The Z-Score extreme-high exit confirms the pair stretched too far above its mean on the hourly chart. These indicators together suggest that the recent bullish push on the 1H has run out of steam and a pullback toward the nearest support at 1.11365 is likely.

However, the higher timeframes are mostly bullish, with the 15m through 4h all showing trend formation in favor of the prior up move. The 8h is choppy, while the 12h and 1d are bearish, with the daily showing a very strong downtrend. This mixed alignment means the sell signal is a counter-trend move against the intraday bullish structure, but it aligns with the larger daily bearish trend. The immediate resistance at 1.12148 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup, while a hold below it keeps the downside bias intact.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exits and upper-band retreats (Stochastic, HMA, AccuBands, Keltner) align to signal exhaustion of the short-term up move.
▼ The Z-Score extreme-high exit confirms the price is stretched above its mean, increasing the likelihood of a reversion.
▼ The daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend, providing a higher-timeframe backdrop that favors selling.
▼ The Phasor in-phase cross down and ER level cross down add momentum confirmation to the bearish reversal.

Risk Factors

▲ Most intraday timeframes (15m through 4h) are still bullish, so the sell is counter-trend and could be quickly overrun if buyers return.
▲ The Golden Cross on the SMA 20/50 is a bullish signal that has not yet been fully negated; if the price holds above the 20 SMA, the pullback may stall.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.12148 would invalidate the bearish setup and likely trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The 8H is choppy/sideways, which can lead to false signals and whipsaws; momentum may fade before reaching the support level.