BTC/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-02 00:00 UTC 39 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.14 %

Entry

77,894.16

Target

74,967.97 +3.76 %

closes in profit

Stop

84,898.00 −8.99 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.03 % per trade 700 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 700 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.13 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.85 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.87 % 17 % at stop avg −6.09 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Channel, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +25% Position

▲ Bullish 16 % (2.96) ▼ Bearish 84 % (15.50)

model score 84.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 2h
15:00TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Descending Channelbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.47
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.97
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.97
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.72

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: Descending Channel, Bearish Engulfing, and multiple momentum indicators align on the 12H chart.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, but lower timeframes are choppy—expect possible pullbacks.
Watch the 84898.00 resistance; a break above invalidates the bearish setup.
The 74967.97 support is the key downside level to monitor for continuation.

The 12H BTC/USDT chart is flashing a high-probability SELL signal (84% strength) driven by a convergence of chart pattern, candlestick, and indicator signals. Price is contained within a Descending Channel, and the recent Bearish Engulfing candlestick at the channel's upper boundary reinforces the bearish momentum. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate selling pressure and fading buying momentum, while the ER Level Cross Up and ERI BULL Zero Cross Up suggest that the current bounce is losing steam, likely setting up for a continuation lower.

Across timeframes, the trend is uniformly bearish, though the lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are choppy and sideways, while the 4H to 1D timeframes show a forming trend. This alignment supports the bearish thesis, but the choppy lower timeframes warrant caution. The nearest resistance at 84898.00 is the key invalidation zone; a break above it would negate the setup. The nearest support at 74967.97 is the primary downside target, and a break below that would open the door for deeper declines.

Catalysts

▼ Descending Channel pattern suggests sustained lower highs and lower lows.
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick at channel resistance adds strong reversal confirmation.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm selling pressure and momentum shift.
▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with higher timeframes showing a forming trend.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are choppy and sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ A break above the 84898.00 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The ER Level Cross Up and ERI BULL Zero Cross Up hint at lingering buying interest, which could stall the decline.
▲ If price holds above support and forms a higher low, the bearish momentum may fade.