AVAX/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-02 08:00 UTC 36 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.34 %

Entry

8.5730

Target

8.0000 +6.68 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.1620 −6.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,899 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,899 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.61 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.78 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.82 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: FISHER Zero Cross Down, MAMA Cross Down, QSTICK Zero Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

57.2 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 31 % (5.59) ▼ Bearish 69 % (12.68)

model score 69.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 2h
15:00TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.38
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.29
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.19
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.07
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is confirmed by multiple zero-cross signals (MOM, ROC, ROCR, FISHER) and a MAMA Cross Down.
The 8H and 12H timeframes show a solid downtrend, supporting the 4H sell signal.
Key resistance at 9.16200 must hold to keep the bearish bias intact.
Support at 8.00000 is the primary downside target; a break below could trigger further declines.

The AVA/USDT 4H signal is firmly bearish, with a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators aligning to the downside. The BOP Zero Cross Up suggests buying pressure is fading, while MOM, ROC, and ROCR all crossing below zero confirm negative momentum. The MAMA Cross Down and FISHER Zero Cross Down add to the bearish confluence, and the KDJ entering oversold territory (OS Entry) alongside a SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicates a potential volatility expansion, often favoring the prevailing trend direction. With 13 signals firing in the same direction, the bearish case is well-supported.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, though the lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are choppy and sideways, with a weak trend score of 1/5. The 8H and 12H charts show a solid bearish trend (3/5), and the daily is forming a bearish trend (2/5), suggesting the medium-term bias is down. The nearest resistance at 9.16200 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 8.00000 is the primary downside target, and a break below could accelerate selling. However, the choppy lower timeframes and moderate strength (69%) warrant caution, as the setup may be prone to whipsaws.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, FISHER) all crossing below zero.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across higher timeframes (8H, 12H) with solid trend scores.
▼ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire suggests a potential volatility expansion, often favoring the prevailing direction.
▼ Multiple signal groups (candlestick and indicator) firing in the same direction add confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are choppy and sideways, which could lead to false signals or whipsaws.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 9.16200 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The KDJ oversold entry suggests the market may be due for a bounce, which could counter the sell signal.
▲ The daily timeframe trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating the larger trend is not yet fully established.